Ecopetrol Sa Adr Stock Market Value
| EC Stock | USD 11.34 0.11 0.96% |
| Symbol | Ecopetrol |
Ecopetrol SA ADR Price To Book Ratio
Is Ecopetrol's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecopetrol. If investors know Ecopetrol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecopetrol listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share 2.48 | Revenue Per Share 34.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0881 |
The market value of Ecopetrol SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecopetrol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecopetrol's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecopetrol's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecopetrol's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecopetrol's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecopetrol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ecopetrol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecopetrol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Ecopetrol 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ecopetrol's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ecopetrol.
| 03/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ecopetrol on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ecopetrol over 30 days. Ecopetrol is related to or competes with Shell PLC, and Petrleo Brasileiro. The company operates through four segments Exploration and Production Transport and Logistics Refining, Petrochemical an... More
Ecopetrol Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ecopetrol's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ecopetrol SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.56) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.49 |
Ecopetrol Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ecopetrol's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ecopetrol's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ecopetrol historical prices to predict the future Ecopetrol's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0262 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.054 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecopetrol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ecopetrol SA ADR Backtested Returns
We consider Ecopetrol not too volatile. Ecopetrol SA ADR secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0459, which denotes the company had a 0.0459% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ecopetrol SA ADR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ecopetrol's Downside Deviation of 1.79, mean deviation of 1.27, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3126.58 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0811%. Ecopetrol has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.84, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ecopetrol's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ecopetrol is expected to be smaller as well. Ecopetrol SA ADR right now shows a risk of 1.77%. Please confirm Ecopetrol SA ADR maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to decide if Ecopetrol SA ADR will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.94 |
Near perfect reversele predictability
Ecopetrol SA ADR has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ecopetrol time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ecopetrol SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Ecopetrol price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.94 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.09 |
Ecopetrol SA ADR lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ecopetrol stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ecopetrol's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ecopetrol returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ecopetrol has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ecopetrol regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ecopetrol stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ecopetrol stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ecopetrol stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ecopetrol Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ecopetrol's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ecopetrol stock have on its future price. Ecopetrol autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ecopetrol autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ecopetrol stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ecopetrol SA ADR.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Ecopetrol Investors Sentiment
The influence of Ecopetrol's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ecopetrol. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ecopetrol's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ecopetrol. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ecopetrol can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ecopetrol SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ecopetrol's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ecopetrol's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ecopetrol's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ecopetrol.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ecopetrol in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ecopetrol's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ecopetrol options trading.
Pair Trading with Ecopetrol
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ecopetrol could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ecopetrol when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ecopetrol - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ecopetrol SA ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Ecopetrol is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ecopetrol moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ecopetrol SA ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ecopetrol can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ecopetrol Correlation, Ecopetrol Volatility and Ecopetrol Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ecopetrol. Note that the Ecopetrol SA ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ecopetrol's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Ecopetrol Stock analysis
When running Ecopetrol's price analysis, check to measure Ecopetrol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecopetrol is operating at the current time. Most of Ecopetrol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecopetrol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecopetrol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecopetrol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Ecopetrol technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.