Dollar General Stock Market Value

DG Stock  USD 144.82  0.86  0.59%   
Dollar General's market value is the price at which a share of Dollar General trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dollar General investors about its performance. Dollar General is trading at 144.82 as of the 20th of April 2024. This is a -0.59 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 144.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dollar General and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dollar General over a given investment horizon. Check out Dollar General Correlation, Dollar General Volatility and Dollar General Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dollar General.
For more detail on how to invest in Dollar Stock please use our How to Invest in Dollar General guide.
Symbol

Dollar General Price To Book Ratio

Is Dollar General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar General. If investors know Dollar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dollar General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.39)
Dividend Share
2.36
Earnings Share
7.55
Revenue Per Share
176.34
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Dollar General is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dollar General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dollar General is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dollar General 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dollar General's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dollar General.
0.00
04/26/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
04/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dollar General on April 26, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dollar General or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dollar General over 360 days. Dollar General is related to or competes with Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, T Rowe, and 70082LAB3. Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, Mi... More

Dollar General Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dollar General's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dollar General upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dollar General Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dollar General's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dollar General's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dollar General historical prices to predict the future Dollar General's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dollar General's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
142.82144.67146.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
138.51140.36159.30
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
123.44135.65150.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.531.571.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dollar General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dollar General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dollar General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dollar General.

Dollar General Backtested Returns

We consider Dollar General very steady. Dollar General secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0736, which denotes the company had a 0.0736% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dollar General, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Dollar General's Downside Deviation of 1.89, coefficient of variation of 1772.2, and Mean Deviation of 1.38 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Dollar General has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.22, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dollar General will likely underperform. Dollar General right now shows a risk of 1.85%. Please confirm Dollar General jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Dollar General will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.94  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Dollar General has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dollar General time series from 26th of April 2023 to 23rd of October 2023 and 23rd of October 2023 to 20th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dollar General price movement. The serial correlation of -0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Dollar General price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.94
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance159.95

Dollar General lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dollar General stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dollar General's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dollar General returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dollar General has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dollar General regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dollar General stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dollar General stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dollar General stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dollar General Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dollar General's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dollar General stock have on its future price. Dollar General autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dollar General autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dollar General stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dollar General.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Dollar General Investors Sentiment

The influence of Dollar General's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Dollar. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Dollar General's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dollar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dollar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dollar General. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dollar General's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Dollar General's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Dollar General's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Dollar General.

Dollar General Implied Volatility

    
  32.02  
Dollar General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar General stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar General stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar General's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dollar General in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dollar General's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dollar General options trading.

Pair Trading with Dollar General

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dollar General position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dollar General will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dollar Stock

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Moving against Dollar Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dollar General could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dollar General when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dollar General - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dollar General to buy it.
The correlation of Dollar General is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dollar General moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dollar General moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dollar General can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Dollar General is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dollar General's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dollar General's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dollar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Dollar General Correlation, Dollar General Volatility and Dollar General Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dollar General.
For more detail on how to invest in Dollar Stock please use our How to Invest in Dollar General guide.
Note that the Dollar General information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dollar General's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running Dollar General's price analysis, check to measure Dollar General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar General is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Dollar General technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Dollar General technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Dollar General trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...