Discover Financial Services Stock Market Value
| DFS Stock | USD 129.02 0.22 0.17% |
| Symbol | Discover |
Discover Financial Price To Book Ratio
Is Discover Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Discover Financial. If investors know Discover will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Discover Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 2.8 | Earnings Share 8.78 | Revenue Per Share 39.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.294 |
The market value of Discover Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Discover that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Discover Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Discover Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Discover Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Discover Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Discover Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Discover Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Discover Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Discover Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Discover Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Discover Financial.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Discover Financial on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Discover Financial Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Discover Financial over 30 days. Discover Financial is related to or competes with Ally Financial, Synchrony Financial, Western Union, Bread Financial, American Express, Mastercard, and Visa. Discover Financial Services, through its subsidiaries, provides digital banking products and services, and payment servi... More
Discover Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Discover Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Discover Financial Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1719 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.51 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.06 |
Discover Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Discover Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Discover Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Discover Financial historical prices to predict the future Discover Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1423 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3605 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1599 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2554 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.427 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Discover Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Discover Financial Backtested Returns
Discover Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Discover Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the company had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Discover Financial Services, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Discover Financial's Mean Deviation of 1.35, coefficient of variation of 461.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.43 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Discover Financial holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Discover Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Discover Financial is expected to follow. Please check Discover Financial's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Discover Financial's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.73 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Discover Financial Services has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Discover Financial time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Discover Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Discover Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.73 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.59 |
Discover Financial lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Discover Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Discover Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Discover Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Discover Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Discover Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Discover Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Discover Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Discover Financial stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Discover Financial Lagged Returns
When evaluating Discover Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Discover Financial stock have on its future price. Discover Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Discover Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Discover Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Discover Financial Services.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Discover Financial Investors Sentiment
The influence of Discover Financial's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Discover. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Discover Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Discover. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Discover can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Discover Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Discover Financial's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Discover Financial's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Discover Financial's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Discover Financial.
Discover Financial Implied Volatility | 47.74 |
Discover Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Discover Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Discover Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Discover Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Discover Financial's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Discover Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Discover Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Discover Financial options trading.
Pair Trading with Discover Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Discover Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Discover Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Discover Stock
| 0.87 | CG | Carlyle Group Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Discover Stock
| 0.83 | AJX | Great Ajax Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | EFC | Ellington Financial LLC Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Discover Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Discover Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Discover Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Discover Financial Services to buy it.
The correlation of Discover Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Discover Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Discover Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Discover Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Discover Financial Correlation, Discover Financial Volatility and Discover Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Discover Financial. Note that the Discover Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Discover Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Discover Stock analysis
When running Discover Financial's price analysis, check to measure Discover Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Discover Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Discover Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Discover Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Discover Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Discover Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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