Antero Resources Corp Stock Market Value

AR Stock  USD 28.86  0.30  1.03%   
Antero Resources' market value is the price at which a share of Antero Resources trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Antero Resources Corp investors about its performance. Antero Resources is selling at 28.86 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -1.03 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 28.76.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Antero Resources Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Antero Resources over a given investment horizon. Check out Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Volatility and Antero Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Antero Resources.
Symbol

Antero Resources Corp Price To Book Ratio

Is Antero Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antero Resources. If investors know Antero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antero Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.87)
Earnings Share
0.78
Revenue Per Share
14.961
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Return On Assets
0.0228
The market value of Antero Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antero Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antero Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antero Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antero Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antero Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Antero Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antero Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Antero Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Antero Resources' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Antero Resources.
0.00
05/24/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 10 months and 27 days
04/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Antero Resources on May 24, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Antero Resources Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Antero Resources over 330 days. Antero Resources is related to or competes with Southwestern Energy, Chesapeake Energy, EQT, Matador Resources, Diamondback Energy, Vital Energy, and Range Resources. Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces... More

Antero Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Antero Resources' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Antero Resources Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Antero Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Antero Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Antero Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Antero Resources historical prices to predict the future Antero Resources' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Antero Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9529.3231.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2432.7935.16
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.1533.1336.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.210.010.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Antero Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Antero Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Antero Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Antero Resources Corp.

Antero Resources Corp Backtested Returns

Antero Resources appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Antero Resources Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which signifies that the company had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Antero Resources Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Antero Resources' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0998, downside deviation of 1.93, and Mean Deviation of 1.57 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Antero Resources holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.58, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Antero Resources will likely underperform. Please check Antero Resources' semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Antero Resources' price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Antero Resources Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Antero Resources time series from 24th of May 2023 to 5th of November 2023 and 5th of November 2023 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Antero Resources Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Antero Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.42

Antero Resources Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Antero Resources stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Antero Resources' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Antero Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Antero Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Antero Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Antero Resources stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Antero Resources stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Antero Resources stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Antero Resources Lagged Returns

When evaluating Antero Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Antero Resources stock have on its future price. Antero Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Antero Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Antero Resources stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Antero Resources Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Antero Resources Investors Sentiment

The influence of Antero Resources' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Antero. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Antero Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Antero. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Antero can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Antero Resources Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Antero Resources' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Antero Resources' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Antero Resources' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Antero Resources.

Antero Resources Implied Volatility

    
  63.36  
Antero Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Antero Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Antero Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Antero Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Antero Resources' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Antero Resources in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Antero Resources' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Antero Resources options trading.

Pair Trading with Antero Resources

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Antero Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Antero Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Antero Stock

  0.96PR Permian Resources Financial Report 13th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.91SD SandRidge EnergyPairCorr
  0.96SM SM Energy Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr

Moving against Antero Stock

  0.71EP Empire Petroleum Corp Downward RallyPairCorr
  0.62VIVK Vivakor Report 23rd of May 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Antero Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Antero Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Antero Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Antero Resources Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Antero Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Antero Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Antero Resources Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Antero Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Antero Resources Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Antero Resources' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Antero Resources' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Antero Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Antero Resources Correlation, Antero Resources Volatility and Antero Resources Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Antero Resources.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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Antero Resources technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Antero Resources technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Antero Resources trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...