Advance Auto Parts Stock Market Value
| AAP Stock | USD 77.20 3.15 4.25% |
| Symbol | Advance |
Advance Auto Parts Price To Book Ratio
Is Advance Auto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Advance Auto. If investors know Advance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Advance Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 2.25 | Earnings Share 0.5 | Revenue Per Share 189.925 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Advance Auto Parts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Advance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Advance Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Advance Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Advance Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Advance Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Advance Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Advance Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Advance Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Advance Auto 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Advance Auto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Advance Auto.
| 05/30/2022 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Advance Auto on May 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Advance Auto Parts or generate 0.0% return on investment in Advance Auto over 690 days. Advance Auto is related to or competes with Asbury Automotive, Penske Automotive, and Group 1. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domest... More
Advance Auto Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Advance Auto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Advance Auto Parts upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1288 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.15) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.25 |
Advance Auto Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Advance Auto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Advance Auto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Advance Auto historical prices to predict the future Advance Auto's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1045 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2774 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1412 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1336 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2314 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advance Auto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advance Auto Parts Backtested Returns
Advance Auto appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Advance Auto Parts secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Advance Auto Parts, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Advance Auto's Downside Deviation of 2.34, risk adjusted performance of 0.1045, and Mean Deviation of 1.86 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Advance Auto holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.61, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Advance Auto will likely underperform. Please check Advance Auto's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Advance Auto's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.04 |
Virtually no predictability
Advance Auto Parts has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Advance Auto time series from 30th of May 2022 to 10th of May 2023 and 10th of May 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Advance Auto Parts price movement. The serial correlation of 0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Advance Auto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.04 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.1 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 227.96 |
Advance Auto Parts lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Advance Auto stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Advance Auto's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Advance Auto returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Advance Auto has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Advance Auto regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Advance Auto stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Advance Auto stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Advance Auto stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Advance Auto Lagged Returns
When evaluating Advance Auto's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Advance Auto stock have on its future price. Advance Auto autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Advance Auto autocorrelation shows the relationship between Advance Auto stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Advance Auto Parts.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Advance Auto
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Advance Auto position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Advance Auto will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Advance Stock
| 0.85 | W | Wayfair Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | AN | AutoNation Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Advance Stock
| 0.8 | VSCO | Victorias Secret Financial Report 29th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | AAN | Aarons Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | BGI | Birks Group | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | FNKO | Funko Inc Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | BQ | Boqii Holding Limited | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Advance Auto could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Advance Auto when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Advance Auto - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Advance Auto Parts to buy it.
The correlation of Advance Auto is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Advance Auto moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Advance Auto Parts moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Advance Auto can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Advance Auto Correlation, Advance Auto Volatility and Advance Auto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Advance Auto. Note that the Advance Auto Parts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Advance Auto's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Advance Stock analysis
When running Advance Auto's price analysis, check to measure Advance Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advance Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Advance Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advance Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advance Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advance Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Advance Auto technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.