Exela Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XELA Stock  USD 3.06  0.01  0.33%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Exela Technologies is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Exela Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding XELA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Exela Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Exela Technologies' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
2.19
Target Price
2
Hype Value
3.06
Market Value
3.06
Naive Value
3.5
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Exela Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Exela Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Exela Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Exela Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Exela Stock refer to our How to Trade Exela Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exela and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Exela Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Exela Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Exela recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exela Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exela Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exela Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Exela TechnologiesBuy Exela Technologies
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Exela Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 3.76, Semi Deviation of 4.03, Standard Deviation of 5.7, Variance of 32.49, Downside Variance of 17.96 and Semi Variance of 16.2
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Exela Technologies. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Exela Technologies is not overpriced, please confirm all Exela Technologies fundamentals, including its net income, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Exela Technologies has a number of shares shorted of 599.16 K, we urge you to verify Exela Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Exela Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Exela Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Exela Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 1.15 B in liabilities. Exela Technologies has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Exela Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Exela Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Exela Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Exela to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Exela Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (293.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.51 M.
Exela Technologies currently holds about 10.4 M in cash with (29.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09.
Exela Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Exela Technologies Inc Stock Gains 57.01 percent This Week Is It a Good Pick - InvestorsObserver

Exela Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Exela Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Exela Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exela Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exela Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exela Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exela Technologies.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-6.45
Potential Upside
13.11
Standard Deviation
5.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exela Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Exela Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Exela Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exela Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Exela Technologies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Exela Technologies' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
1.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
1.3 K
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
49.0
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
34.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
3.0
Simplex Trading, Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Org Partners Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2023-09-30
0.0
Two Sigma Securities, Llc2023-12-31
0.0
Shay Capital Llc2023-12-31
190.3 K
Rafferty Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
165.4 K
Note, although Exela Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Exela Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(29.8M)56.2M(22.2M)(3.0M)691K725.6K
Net Borrowings94.8M79.6M(292.0M)(32.8M)(29.5M)(28.0M)
Free Cash Flow(84.4M)(45.3M)(128.1M)(109.1M)(43.0M)(45.2M)
Depreciation100.9M94.0M77.2M71.8M63.7M69.8M
Other Non Cash Items369.8M(21.5M)(13.0M)185.2M(3.2M)(3.1M)
Capital Expenditures20.5M15.5M16.5M22.0M13.6M21.8M
Net Income(509.1M)(178.5M)(142.4M)(415.6M)(293.6M)(308.3M)
End Period Cash Flow14.1M70.3M48.1M45.1M45.2M36.2M
Change To Netincome362.8M(24.6M)(18.2M)173.3M199.3M209.2M
Investments(25.2M)21.4M(9.3M)(21.8M)16.2M17.0M
Change Receivables(19.3M)4.4M17.4M77.7M89.3M93.8M

Exela Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exela Technologies or IT Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exela Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exela stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.74
σ
Overall volatility
5.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Exela Technologies Volatility Alert

Exela Technologies exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exela Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exela Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Exela Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Exela Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exela Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exela Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exela Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exela Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exela Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Exela Technologies to competition
FundamentalsExela TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Asset-0.0044-0.14
Profit Margin(0.28) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.37 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted599.16 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(0.01) X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.02 X11.42 X
Revenue1.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit277.51 M27.38 B
EBITDA57.48 M3.9 B
Net Income(293.57 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.09 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.15 B5.32 B
Current Ratio0.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(132.42) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(29.43 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio6.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(108.88) X3.12 X
Target Price2.0
Number Of Employees15 K18.84 K
Beta1.86-0.15
Market Capitalization19.45 M19.03 B
Total Asset721.91 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.95 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(319.55 M)1.48 B
Z Score-2.568.72
Net Asset721.91 M
Note: Conversion by James Reynolds of 49420 shares of Exela Technologies [view details]

Exela Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exela . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Exela Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Exela Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Exela Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.3B1.2B1.3B1.3B
Total Assets1.0B721.9M830.2M1.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Exela Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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High Dividend Yield ETFs
High Dividend Yield ETFs Theme
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When determining whether Exela Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Exela Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Exela Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Exela Technologies Stock:
Check out Exela Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Exela Stock refer to our How to Trade Exela Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Exela Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Exela Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exela Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Exela Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exela Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exela Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exela Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Exela Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exela Technologies. If investors know Exela will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exela Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(108.88)
Revenue Per Share
233.581
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Exela Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exela that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exela Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exela Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exela Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exela Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exela Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exela Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exela Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.