Walgreens Boots Alliance Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| WBA Stock | USD 17.66 0.03 0.17% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Walgreens Boots Alliance is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Walgreens Boots buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding WBA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Walgreens Boots' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Walgreens Boots' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 22.52 | Target Price 26.11 | Hype Value 17.43 | Market Value 17.66 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Walgreens Boots Alliance given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Walgreens Boots. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Walgreens Boots Alliance, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Walgreens |
Execute Walgreens Boots Buy or Sell Advice
The Walgreens recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Walgreens Boots Alliance. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Walgreens Boots Alliance or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Walgreens Boots' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Walgreens Boots Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Walgreens Boots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 33.53 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.2, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walgreens Boots Alliance has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walgreens Boots until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walgreens Boots' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walgreens Boots Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walgreens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walgreens Boots' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 139.08 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.53 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 27.07 B. | |
| About 62.0% of Walgreens Boots outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 12th of March 2024 Walgreens Boots paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Number of vacant NYC storefronts has nearly doubled since the pandemic Creating havoc |
Walgreens Boots Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Walgreens Boots' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Walgreens Boots' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Walgreens Boots daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Walgreens Boots Alliance price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Walgreens Boots returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Walgreens Boots.
| Mean Return | -0.37 | Value At Risk | -4.23 | Potential Upside | 3.19 | Standard Deviation | 2.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Walgreens Boots historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Walgreens Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Walgreens Boots is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walgreens Boots Alliance backward and forwards among themselves. Walgreens Boots' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Walgreens Boots' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | 5.9 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.6 M | Camber Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 5.2 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2023-12-31 | 4.5 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-09-30 | 4.4 M | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 3.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-09-30 | 3.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 86.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 65.9 M |
Walgreens Boots Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 63M | 165M | (433M) | 287M | 330.1M | 346.6M | |
| Change In Cash | (461M) | 524M | 1.3B | (1.7B) | (1.5B) | (1.5B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 4.1B | 4.2B | 2.2B | 141M | 162.2M | 154.0M | |
| Depreciation | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.6B | 2.7B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.1B | 254M | (2.7B) | (1.9B) | (1.7B) | (1.6B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.9B | 2.0B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.6B | |
| Net Income | 424M | 2.5B | 4.1B | (3.5B) | (4.1B) | (3.9B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 746M | 1.3B | 2.6B | 856M | 984.4M | 1.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.2B | 612M | (75M) | (4.4B) | (3.9B) | (3.7B) | |
| Investments | (1.3B) | 4.1B | (1.1B) | (3.1B) | (2.8B) | (2.6B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.2B) | (7.1B) | 2.0B | (2.7B) | (2.4B) | (2.3B) | |
| Change Receivables | (789M) | 163M | (1.5B) | 808M | 929.2M | 975.7M |
Walgreens Boots Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Walgreens Boots or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Walgreens Boots' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Walgreens stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Walgreens Boots Volatility Alert
Walgreens Boots Alliance exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.04 and kurtosis of 3.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Walgreens Boots' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Walgreens Boots' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Walgreens Boots Implied Volatility
Walgreens Boots' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walgreens Boots Alliance stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walgreens Boots' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walgreens Boots stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walgreens Boots' options are near their expiration.
Walgreens Boots Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Walgreens Boots' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Walgreens Boots' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Walgreens Boots and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Walgreens Boots or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Walgreens Boots' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walgreens Boots by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Walgreens Boots to competition |
| Fundamentals | Walgreens Boots | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.57 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0112 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 51.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 862.71 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 35.22 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 139.08 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 27.07 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.58 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (3.53 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.48 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.87 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 33.53 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.26 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.38 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (7.00) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.98 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 22.71 | |
| Number Of Employees | 330 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.75 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.22 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 96.63 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 33.06 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (9.03 B) | 1.48 B |
Walgreens Boots Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Walgreens . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Walgreens Boots Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Walgreens Boots Alliance? Buying financial instruments such as Walgreens Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 35.5B | 33.5B | 38.6B | 40.5B | Total Assets | 90.1B | 96.6B | 111.1B | 116.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Walgreens Boots in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Hotels, inns, motels, and other companies providing lodging and hospitality services. The Hotels theme has 41 constituents at this time.
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Check out Walgreens Boots Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Walgreens Boots Alliance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Walgreens Boots' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Walgreens Stock analysis
When running Walgreens Boots' price analysis, check to measure Walgreens Boots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walgreens Boots is operating at the current time. Most of Walgreens Boots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walgreens Boots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walgreens Boots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walgreens Boots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walgreens Boots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walgreens Boots. If investors know Walgreens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walgreens Boots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 1.69 | Earnings Share (7.00) | Revenue Per Share 167.542 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Walgreens Boots Alliance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walgreens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walgreens Boots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walgreens Boots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walgreens Boots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walgreens Boots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walgreens Boots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walgreens Boots is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walgreens Boots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.