Vale Sa Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VALE Stock | USD 11.95 0.10 0.84% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vale SA ADR is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vale SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Vale SA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vale SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vale SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 11.62 | Target Price 16.33 | Hype Value 11.85 | Market Value 11.95 | Naive Value 11.64 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vale SA ADR given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vale SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vale SA ADR, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vale |
Execute Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice
The Vale recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vale SA ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vale SA ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vale SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Vale SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vale SA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 26th of March 2024 Vale SA paid $ 0.5519 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BMO maintains price target on Vale shares, cites strong returns |
Vale SA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vale SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vale SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vale SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vale SA ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vale SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vale SA.
| Mean Return | -0.25 | Value At Risk | -2.75 | Potential Upside | 3.00 | Standard Deviation | 1.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vale SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vale Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vale SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vale SA ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Vale SA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vale SA's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 12.5 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 12.3 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 11.8 M | Lazard Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 11.8 M | Itau Unibanco Holding Sa | 2023-12-31 | 11 M | Rwc Asset Advisors (us) Llc | 2023-12-31 | 10.8 M | Oaktree Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 9.4 M | Mondrian Investment Partners Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 9.1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 8.7 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 163.9 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2023-12-31 | 76.8 M |
Vale SA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 110M | (180M) | (503M) | 45M | (223.4M) | (212.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.6B | 6.1B | (1.8B) | (7.0B) | (474.6M) | (450.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 8.4B | 9.9B | 20.6B | 6.0B | 7.4B | 4.8B | |
| Depreciation | 3.7B | 3.2B | 3.0B | 3.2B | 3.0B | 2.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.0B | 12.6B | (7.2B) | (10.2B) | 5.3B | 5.5B | |
| Dividends Paid | 353M | 3.4B | 13.5B | 6.6B | (5.6B) | (5.3B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.7B | 4.4B | 5.0B | 5.4B | 6.0B | 7.1B | |
| Net Income | (2.8B) | 5.0B | 29.5B | 19.8B | 8.0B | 7.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 7.4B | 13.5B | 11.7B | 4.7B | 4.2B | 5.3B | |
| Investments | (7.0B) | (4.7B) | 2.4B | (4.7B) | (6.0B) | (5.7B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (10.9B) | (313M) | (6.7B) | (6.2B) | (5.5B) | (5.8B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 41.4B | 52.3B | (1.9B) | (46.0B) | (41.4B) | (39.3B) |
Vale SA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vale SA or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vale SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vale stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Vale SA Volatility Alert
Vale SA ADR exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.85 and kurtosis of 1.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vale SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vale SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vale SA Implied Volatility
Vale SA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vale SA ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vale SA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vale SA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vale SA's options are near their expiration.
Vale SA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vale SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vale SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vale SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vale SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vale SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vale SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vale SA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vale SA | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.36 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 121.13 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.28 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 38.02 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.25 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.30 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 41.66 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 102.31 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 17.57 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 28.61 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 13.88 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.07 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 44.41 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.4 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.83 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 10.64 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 16.6 | |
| Beta | 0.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 51.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 93.87 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 13.01 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.64 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 11.43 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 10.44 B | 7.9 B |
Vale SA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vale . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vale SA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vale SA ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Vale Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 17.2B | 15.4B | 13.9B | 20.0B | Total Assets | 89.4B | 86.9B | 93.9B | 85.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vale SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Farming Thematic Idea Now
Farming
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vale SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Vale Stock analysis
When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vale SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vale SA. If investors know Vale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vale SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1.75 | Earnings Share 1.83 | Revenue Per Share 47.655 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 |
The market value of Vale SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vale SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vale SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vale SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vale SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vale SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vale SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vale SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.