Virginia National Bankshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VABK Stock  USD 30.10  0.05  0.17%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Virginia National Bankshares is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Virginia National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VABK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Virginia National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Virginia National's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
30.03
Hype Value
29.75
Market Value
30.1
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Virginia National Bankshares given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Virginia National. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Virginia National Bankshares, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Virginia National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Virginia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Virginia National Bankshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Virginia National Buy or Sell Advice

The Virginia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Virginia National Bankshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Virginia National Bankshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Virginia National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Virginia NationalBuy Virginia National
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Virginia National Bankshares has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.62), Total Risk Alpha of (0.96) and Treynor Ratio of (0.12)
Our recommendation module can be used to complement Virginia National trade recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Virginia National is not overpriced, please validate all Virginia National fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash flow from operations, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Virginia National has a number of shares shorted of 41.51 K, we advise you to double-check Virginia National Bankshares market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Virginia National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Virginia National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Virginia National has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 28th of March 2024 Virginia National paid $ 0.33 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: First National to acquire Prince George-based community bank - Virginia Business Magazine

Virginia National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Virginia National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Virginia National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Virginia National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Virginia National Bankshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Virginia National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Virginia National.
Mean Return
-0.3
Value At Risk
-5.01
Potential Upside
4.83
Standard Deviation
2.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Virginia National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Virginia Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Virginia National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virginia National Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Virginia National's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Virginia National's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Hpm Partners Llc2023-12-31
48.2 K
Salzhauer Michael2023-12-31
41.2 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
39.8 K
Grace & White Inc2023-12-31
34.3 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
30.6 K
Raffles Associates Lp2023-09-30
25.8 K
U.s. Bancorp2023-12-31
18.6 K
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp2023-12-31
14.1 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
13.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
292 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
289.8 K
Note, although Virginia National's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Virginia National Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash211K15.6M474.1M(468.7M)3.0M3.1M
Free Cash Flow9.2M9.1M11.8M22.1M3.0M2.8M
Depreciation1.2M2.0M4.4M5.1M1.5M1.8M
Other Non Cash Items794K1.2M(1.6M)(4.2M)(17.8M)(16.9M)
Capital Expenditures189K199K1.3M546K906K575.3K
Net Income6.7M8.0M10.1M23.4M19.3M20.2M
End Period Cash Flow19.1M34.7M508.8M40.1M3.0M2.8M
Dividends Paid3.1M3.2M6.4M6.4M6.9M7.3M
Investments(50.7M)(58.1M)110.2M(167.2M)47.2M49.6M
Change Receivables(509K)910K545K(2.6M)(2.3M)(2.2M)
Net Borrowings14.4M(34.1M)30M(42.6M)(38.3M)(36.4M)
Change To Netincome1.2M1.2M1.5M(4.3M)(3.8M)(3.6M)

Virginia National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Virginia National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Virginia National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Virginia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.62
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.49
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Virginia National Volatility Alert

Virginia National Bankshares exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 1.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Virginia National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Virginia National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Virginia National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Virginia National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Virginia National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Virginia National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Virginia National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Virginia National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virginia National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Virginia National to competition
FundamentalsVirginia NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0118-0.14
Profit Margin0.34 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.36 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation212.78 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.37 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders15.38 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted41.51 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.05 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.82 X11.42 X
Revenue78.63 M9.43 B
Gross Profit64.46 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.49 M3.9 B
Net Income19.26 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents145.08 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share27.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt79.92 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.08 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share28.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.99 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.58 X3.12 X
Beta0.58-0.15
Market Capitalization161.52 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.65 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings71.89 M9.33 B
Z Score1.328.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.24 %
Net Asset1.65 B
Last Dividend Paid1.32
Note: Acquisition by Glenn Rust of 229 shares of Virginia National at 30.8999 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Virginia National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Virginia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Virginia National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Virginia National Bankshares? Buying financial instruments such as Virginia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity161.9M133.4M153.0M160.7M
Total Current Liabilities4.0M6.2M376.3M395.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Virginia National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now

Restaurants
Restaurants Theme
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Virginia National is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Virginia Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Virginia National Bankshares Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Virginia National Bankshares Stock:
Check out Virginia National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Virginia National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virginia National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Virginia Stock analysis

When running Virginia National's price analysis, check to measure Virginia National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virginia National is operating at the current time. Most of Virginia National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virginia National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virginia National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virginia National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Virginia National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virginia National. If investors know Virginia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virginia National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
3.58
Revenue Per Share
10.703
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.33)
The market value of Virginia National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virginia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virginia National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virginia National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virginia National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virginia National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virginia National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virginia National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virginia National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.