United Parcel Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides United Parcel Service Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding United Parcel positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from United Parcel buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Execute Advice

United Parcel Recommendation

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service Inc is 'Buy'.
For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service Inc has a risk adjusted performance of (0.02), jensen alpha of (0.0007), total risk alpha of 0.0092, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.03)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service Inc. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Cash per Share, and the relationship between Price to Sales and Short Ratio . Given that United Parcel Service has Number of Shares Shorted of 14.67 M, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return-0.02Value At Risk-0.9088
Potential Upside1.0495Standard Deviation0.6686
 Return Density 
Benchmark  Embed    Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares46.1 M5.3 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares28.5 M3.3 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares28.3 M3.2 B
Massachusetts Financial Services CoCommon Shares23 M2.6 B
Blackrock Institutional Trust Company NaCommon Shares19.6 M2.2 B
Fmr LlcCommon Shares15.5 M1.8 B
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares12.9 M1.5 B
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options5.4 M614.5 M

United Parcel Greeks

α
Alpha over NYSE
=(0.0007) 
βBeta against NYSE= 0.89 
σ
Overall volatility
= 0.64 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.0045 

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service Inc exhibits ver low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of -0.7. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition
FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity2.12 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.13 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.08 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin13.26 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation96.84 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding890.41 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.06 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions69.10 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted14.67 M3.24 M
Price to Earning20.36 times40.69 times
Price to Book36.30 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.66 times17.81 times
Revenue58.36 B9.85 B
Gross Profit54.48 B21.75 B
EBITDA7.7 B1.41 B
Net Income4.84 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents2.73 B3.89 B
Cash per Share6.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt14.33 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity5.56 times0.72 times
Current Ratio1.18 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share0.46 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations7.43 B1.25 B
Short Ratio4.81 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share5.61 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.18 times1.22 times
Number of Employees238.48 K10.67 K
Beta1.00.34
Market Capitalization85.68 B29.78 B
Total Asset38.31 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings4.88 B38.24 B
Working Capital2.51 B3.58 B
Current Asset13.21 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by David Barnes of 5507 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.02)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.02)
Mean Deviation0.5298
Coefficient Of Variation(3,196)
Standard Deviation0.6686
Variance0.4471
Information Ratio0.0045
Jensen Alpha(0.0007)
Total Risk Alpha0.0092
Treynor Ratio(0.03)
Maximum Drawdown2.0
Value At Risk(0.91)
Potential Upside1.05
Skewness0.3793
Kurtosis(0.70)
Current Valuation
United Parcel Current Valuation Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc is rated first in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Transport Logistics And Distribution industry is at this time estimated at about 148.6 Billion. United Parcel totals roughly 96.84 Billion in current valuation claiming about 65% of equities listed under Transport Logistics And Distribution industry.