Tesla Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TSLA Stock | USD 162.13 17.45 12.06% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tesla Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Tesla buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Tesla positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Tesla's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Tesla's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 183.15 | Target Price 215.52 | Hype Value 162.42 | Market Value 162.13 | Naive Value 132.37 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Tesla Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Tesla. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Tesla Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Tesla |
Execute Tesla Buy or Sell Advice
The Tesla recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tesla Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tesla Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tesla's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Tesla Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tesla Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from talkmarkets.com: Tesla Price Sequel |
Tesla Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Tesla's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tesla's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tesla daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tesla Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tesla returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tesla.
| Mean Return | -0.53 | Value At Risk | -4.9 | Potential Upside | 4.19 | Standard Deviation | 3.08 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tesla historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Tesla Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Tesla is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tesla Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Tesla's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Tesla's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 25.8 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 21.7 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 18.9 M | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2023-12-31 | 18.7 M | Bamco Inc | 2023-12-31 | 17.7 M | Jennison Associates Llc | 2023-12-31 | 15.6 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.5 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.2 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 15.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 229.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 188.2 M |
Tesla Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (429M) | (422M) | (1.7B) | (6.5B) | (1.2B) | (1.3B) | |
| Change In Cash | 2.5B | 13.1B | (1.8B) | (1.2B) | 265M | 251.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 968M | 2.7B | 3.5B | 7.6B | 4.4B | 4.6B | |
| Depreciation | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.9B | 3.7B | 4.7B | 4.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 477M | 408M | 245M | 934M | (90M) | (85.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.4B | 3.2B | 8.0B | 7.2B | 8.9B | 9.3B | |
| Net Income | (775M) | 862M | 5.6B | 12.6B | 15.0B | 15.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 6.8B | 19.9B | 18.1B | 16.9B | 17.2B | 18.0B | |
| Investments | (1.4B) | (3.1B) | (132M) | (12.0B) | (15.6B) | (14.8B) | |
| Change Receivables | (24.6M) | (496.7M) | (652M) | 130M | 117M | 122.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 798M | 9.5B | 8.9B | (3.9B) | (4.4B) | (4.2B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.3B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.7B | 2.8B |
Tesla Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tesla or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tesla's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tesla stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.65 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Tesla Volatility Alert
Tesla Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.65 and kurtosis of 2.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tesla's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tesla's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Tesla Implied Volatility
Tesla's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tesla Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tesla's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tesla stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tesla's options are near their expiration.
Tesla Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Tesla's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tesla's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tesla and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tesla or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tesla's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tesla by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Tesla to competition |
| Fundamentals | Tesla | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0588 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 433.85 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.18 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.79 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 107.48 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 56.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.70 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.63 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 96.77 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 20.85 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.8 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 15 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.25 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.68 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.26 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.13 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.30 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.63 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 171.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 140.47 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.44 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 460.78 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 106.62 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 27.88 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 20.87 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Kathleen WilsonThompson of 500 shares of Tesla [view details]
Tesla Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tesla . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.66826 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.12 | |||
| Day Median Price | 162.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 162.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 8.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 17.45 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.89 |
About Tesla Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Tesla Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Tesla Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 8.9B | 3.1B | 5.2B | 5.1B | Total Assets | 62.1B | 82.3B | 106.6B | 111.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Tesla in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Tobacco Products Thematic Idea Now
Tobacco Products
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Tobacco Products theme has 10 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tobacco Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Tesla Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Tesla Stock analysis
When running Tesla's price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tesla's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tesla. If investors know Tesla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tesla listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.115 | Earnings Share 4.3 | Revenue Per Share 30.489 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 | Return On Assets 0.0588 |
The market value of Tesla Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tesla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tesla's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tesla's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tesla's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tesla's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tesla's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tesla is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tesla's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.