Jm Smucker Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SJM Stock  USD 125.87  0.15  0.12%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding JM Smucker is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides JM Smucker buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SJM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of JM Smucker's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting JM Smucker's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
125.47
Target Price
136.82
Hype Value
125.87
Market Value
125.87
Naive Value
125.15
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell JM Smucker given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards JM Smucker. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for JM Smucker, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out JM Smucker Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as SJM and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards JM Smucker. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Execute JM Smucker Buy or Sell Advice

The SJM recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on JM Smucker. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in JM Smucker or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute JM Smucker's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell JM SmuckerBuy JM Smucker
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon JM Smucker has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0206, Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27), Sortino Ratio of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0626
Macroaxis provides trade advice on JM Smucker to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on JM Smucker. Our advice engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure JM Smucker is not overpriced, please check out all JM Smucker fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that JM Smucker has a price to book of 1.77 X, we strongly advise you to confirm JM Smucker market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

JM Smucker Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

JM Smucker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.53 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (91.3 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.72 B.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 JM Smucker paid $ 1.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 3200 shares by Jeannette Knudsen of JM Smucker at 124.77 subject to Rule 16b-3

JM Smucker Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of JM Smucker's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of JM Smucker's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of JM Smucker daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use JM Smucker price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of JM Smucker returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for JM Smucker.
Mean Return
0.03
Value At Risk
-2.08
Potential Upside
1.98
Standard Deviation
1.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of JM Smucker historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

SJM Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as JM Smucker is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JM Smucker backward and forwards among themselves. JM Smucker's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase JM Smucker's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s2023-12-31
1.3 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
1.2 M
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Champlain Investment Partners, Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
983.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
925.1 K
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-12-31
896.4 K
Amundi2023-12-31
889.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
13.5 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
9.9 M
Note, although JM Smucker's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

JM Smucker Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory12.6M(110.4M)(178.7M)(134.6M)(121.1M)(115.1M)
Change In Cash289.8M(56.8M)(164.4M)485.9M558.8M586.7M
Free Cash Flow985.5M1.3B718.8M717M824.6M865.8M
Depreciation446.5M452.5M459.1M436.5M502.0M527.1M
Other Non Cash Items(189.5M)44.5M156M985.9M1.1B1.2B
Dividends Paid396.8M403.2M418.1M430.2M494.7M519.5M
Capital Expenditures269.3M306.7M417.5M471M541.7M568.7M
Net Income779.5M876.3M631.7M(91.3M)(105.0M)(99.7M)
End Period Cash Flow391.1M334.3M169.9M655.8M754.2M791.9M
Change To Netincome102.8M34.6M140.2M815.6M937.9M984.8M
Investments(271.5M)311.1M(355.5M)262.6M236.3M248.2M
Change Receivables(49.1M)22M7.5M(74.8M)(67.3M)(64.0M)
Net Borrowings(287.6M)(866.4M)(261.8M)(185.9M)(167.3M)(158.9M)

JM Smucker Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to JM Smucker or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that JM Smucker's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SJM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

JM Smucker Volatility Alert

JM Smucker has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of -0.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure JM Smucker's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact JM Smucker's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

JM Smucker Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing JM Smucker's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze JM Smucker's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between JM Smucker and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as JM Smucker or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of JM Smucker's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JM Smucker by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare JM Smucker to competition
FundamentalsJM SmuckerPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0128-0.31
Return On Asset0.0483-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding106.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.34 M4.71 M
Price To Earning28.38 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.63 X11.42 X
Revenue8.53 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.72 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.6 B3.9 B
Net Income(91.3 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents655.8 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.31 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.57 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.09 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share71.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.19 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.82) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.56 X4.89 X
Target Price133.5
Number Of Employees5.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.21-0.15
Market Capitalization13.35 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.99 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.13 B9.33 B
Working Capital872 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Dawn Willoughby of 236 shares of JM Smucker subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

JM Smucker Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SJM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About JM Smucker Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell JM Smucker? Buying financial instruments such as SJM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total4.5B4.3B5.0B5.2B
Total Assets16.1B15.0B17.2B18.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having JM Smucker in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Books
Books Theme
Companies involved in publishing of books, newspapers, periodicals and other mass publications. The Books theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Books Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether JM Smucker is a strong investment it is important to analyze JM Smucker's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JM Smucker's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SJM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out JM Smucker Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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Is JM Smucker's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Dividend Share
4.2
Earnings Share
(0.82)
Revenue Per Share
78.902
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SJM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JM Smucker is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.