Stifel Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SF Stock  USD 76.67  0.84  1.11%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Stifel Financial is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Stifel Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Stifel Financial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Stifel Financial's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
64.62
Target Price
70.2
Hype Value
76.95
Market Value
76.67
Naive Value
77.74
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Stifel Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Stifel Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Stifel Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Stifel Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Stifel Stock please use our How to Invest in Stifel Financial guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Stifel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Stifel Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Stifel Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Stifel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Stifel Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Stifel Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Stifel Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Stifel FinancialBuy Stifel Financial
Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Stifel Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0601, Jensen Alpha of (0.0003), Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0264 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0695
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Stifel Financial that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Stifel Financial. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Stifel Financial is not overpriced, please validate all Stifel Financial fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Stifel Financial has a price to earning of 13.33 X, we advise you to double-check Stifel Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Stifel Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 1.18 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.47, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Stifel Financial has a current ratio of 0.85, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Stifel Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stifel Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stifel Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stifel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stifel Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Stifel Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of Stifel Financial shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of March 2024 Stifel Financial paid $ 0.42 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from barrons.com: Stifel Hit With 2.3 Million Penalty Over Sales of Complex Financial Products

Stifel Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Stifel Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Stifel Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Stifel Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Stifel Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Stifel Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Stifel Financial.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2.43
Potential Upside
2.75
Standard Deviation
1.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Stifel Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Stifel Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Stifel Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stifel Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Stifel Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Stifel Financial's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
1.7 M
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
10.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Stifel Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Stifel Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(795.4M)1.2B(302.5M)79.3M1.3B1.4B
Free Cash Flow469.0M1.6B683.9M1.1B568.0M596.4M
Depreciation54.4M60.5M63.8M70.2M81.5M85.5M
Other Non Cash Items27.7M42.7M465.8M215.4M182.2M191.3M
Capital Expenditures157.9M73.4M188.2M82.3M52.0M33.9M
Net Income450.0M503.5M824.9M662.2M522.5M548.7M
End Period Cash Flow1.3B2.5B2.1B2.2B3.5B3.7B
Dividends Paid59.3M73.8M101.9M171.0M(200.3M)(190.3M)
Investments(350.3M)(211.4M)(1.2B)(4.2B)442.8M464.9M
Net Borrowings(406.7M)(819.9M)139.7M(173.5M)(156.2M)(148.4M)
Change To Netincome190.7M236.4M300.9M644.6M741.3M778.4M

Stifel Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Stifel Financial or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Stifel Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Stifel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0003
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.67
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Stifel Financial Volatility Alert

Stifel Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 2.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Stifel Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Stifel Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Stifel Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Stifel Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Stifel Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Stifel Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Stifel Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Stifel Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stifel Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Stifel Financial to competition
FundamentalsStifel FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0984-0.31
Return On Asset0.014-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.89 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding102.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.45 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.59 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.33 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.80 X11.42 X
Revenue5.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.13 B27.38 B
EBITDA961.84 M3.9 B
Net Income522.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.2 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share35.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.18 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.47 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share45.61 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations620.01 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.92 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.30 X4.89 X
Target Price81.83
Number Of Employees8.89 K18.84 K
Beta1.18-0.15
Market Capitalization7.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset37.73 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.4 B9.33 B
Z Score4.338.72
Note: Exercise or conversion by Michael Zimmerman of 1900 shares of Stifel Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Stifel Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Stifel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Stifel Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Stifel Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Stifel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.2B1.2B1.2B1.2B
Total Assets34.0B37.2B37.7B39.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Stifel Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Online Gaming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Stifel Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Stifel Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Stifel Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Stifel Financial Stock:
Check out Stifel Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Stifel Stock please use our How to Invest in Stifel Financial guide.
Note that the Stifel Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stifel Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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Is Stifel Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stifel Financial. If investors know Stifel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stifel Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
1.44
Earnings Share
4.28
Revenue Per Share
40.539
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of Stifel Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stifel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stifel Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stifel Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stifel Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stifel Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stifel Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stifel Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stifel Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.