Safehold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SAFE Stock | USD 18.96 0.42 2.27% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Safehold is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Safehold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Safehold positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Safehold's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Safehold's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 21.69 | Target Price 30.57 | Hype Value 18.46 | Market Value 18.96 | Naive Value 17.68 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Safehold given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Safehold. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Safehold, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Safehold |
Execute Safehold Buy or Sell Advice
The Safehold recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Safehold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Safehold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Safehold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Safehold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Safehold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 352.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 276.26 M. | |
| Safehold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Safehold paid $ 0.177 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Safehold secures new 2 billion credit facility |
Safehold Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Safehold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Safehold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Safehold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Safehold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Safehold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Safehold.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -3.38 | Potential Upside | 4.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Safehold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Safehold Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Safehold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Safehold backward and forwards among themselves. Safehold's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Safehold's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 854 K | Mesirow Institutional Investment Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 664.5 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 625.9 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 613.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 556.1 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 428.6 K | Aristotle Capital Boston, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 407 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 404.3 K | B&i Capital Ag | 2023-12-31 | 401.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.7 M |
Safehold Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 22.4M | 49.7M | (58.0M) | 1.1B | (1.7M) | (1.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.4B) | (21.0M) | (1.2B) | 24.6M | 8.1M | 8.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (30.4M) | (37.0M) | (42.7M) | (464.0M) | (104.0M) | (98.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.6M | 32.0M | 35.9M | 53.7M | (46.0M) | (43.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.4B | 56.8M | 1.2B | 23.1M | 7.2M | 6.9M | |
| Net Income | 33.7M | 59.5M | 73.4M | 600.4M | (54.6M) | (51.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 46.8M | 96.5M | 38.5M | 1.4B | 46.7M | 44.4M | |
| Depreciation | 11.9M | 12.1M | 12.0M | 5.5M | 12.2M | 11.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 812.4M | 310.2M | 1.0B | 819.9M | 942.8M | 539.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | (29.6M) | (22.2M) | (19.8M) | (18.7M) | (16.8M) | (17.7M) |
Safehold Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Safehold or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Safehold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Safehold stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Safehold Volatility Alert
Safehold exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 0.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Safehold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Safehold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Safehold Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Safehold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Safehold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Safehold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Safehold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Safehold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safehold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Safehold to competition |
| Fundamentals | Safehold | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0245 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.028 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.15) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.85 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.41 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 71.43 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.32 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 76.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.6 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.62 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 352.58 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 276.26 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 288.45 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (54.56 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.97 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.61 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 30.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 31.39 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.39 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 10.00 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.82) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.91 | |
| Number Of Employees | 86 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.82 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.32 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.55 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 47.58 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.87 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7781 shares by Brett Asnas of Safehold subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Safehold Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Safehold . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15418.24 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.39 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.42 |
About Safehold Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Safehold? Buying financial instruments such as Safehold Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 1.7B | 1.4B | 2.2B | 1.3B | Total Assets | 4.5B | 3.3B | 6.5B | 4.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Safehold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Treasury ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Treasury ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Treasury ETFs theme has 86 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Treasury ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Safehold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Safehold Stock refer to our How to Trade Safehold Stock guide.Note that the Safehold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Safehold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Safehold Stock analysis
When running Safehold's price analysis, check to measure Safehold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safehold is operating at the current time. Most of Safehold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safehold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safehold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safehold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Safehold's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safehold. If investors know Safehold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Safehold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.656 | Dividend Share 0.708 | Earnings Share (0.82) | Revenue Per Share 5.65 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.464 |
The market value of Safehold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safehold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safehold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safehold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Safehold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safehold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safehold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safehold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safehold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.