Quad Graphics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| QUAD Stock | USD 4.51 0.08 1.74% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Quad Graphics is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Quad Graphics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding QUAD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Quad Graphics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Quad Graphics' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.42 | Target Price 9 | Hype Value 4.5 | Market Value 4.51 | Naive Value 3.95 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Quad Graphics given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Quad Graphics. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Quad Graphics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Quad |
Execute Quad Graphics Buy or Sell Advice
The Quad recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Quad Graphics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Quad Graphics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Quad Graphics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Quad Graphics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Quad Graphics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quad Graphics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 625.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.97, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Quad Graphics has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Quad Graphics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Quad Graphics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Quad Graphics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Quad to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Quad Graphics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 598.2 M. | |
| About 25.0% of Quad Graphics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 12th of March 2024 Quad Graphics paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Quad to Host Call to Discuss First Quarter 2024 Results |
Quad Graphics Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Quad Graphics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Quad Graphics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Quad Graphics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Quad Graphics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Quad Graphics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Quad Graphics.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -5.25 | Potential Upside | 5.26 | Standard Deviation | 4.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Quad Graphics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Quad Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Quad Graphics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quad Graphics backward and forwards among themselves. Quad Graphics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Quad Graphics' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 281.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 267.2 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2023-09-30 | 261.3 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 259.8 K | O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 247.4 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 227.7 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 192.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 174.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 173.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M |
Quad Graphics Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 61.3M | 45.8M | (58.3M) | (41.1M) | 90.3M | 94.8M | |
| Change In Cash | 9.2M | (23.5M) | 124.7M | (154.7M) | 27.7M | 29.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 44.5M | 129.2M | 86.5M | 94.3M | 76.8M | 124.1M | |
| Depreciation | 223.1M | 181.6M | 157.3M | 141.3M | 128.8M | 197.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.2M | 128.7M | 77.2M | (46.8M) | 25.2M | 15.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 62.9M | 57.1M | 9.5M | 1.4M | (100K) | (95K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 111M | 61M | 50M | 60.3M | 70.8M | 88.5M | |
| Net Income | (156.3M) | (128.5M) | 37.8M | 9.3M | (55.4M) | (58.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 78.7M | 55.2M | 179.9M | 25.2M | 52.9M | 45.3M | |
| Change Receivables | 49.4M | 57.1M | 72.8M | 12.7M | 11.4M | 10.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 130.8M | (188.1M) | (124.9M) | (234.2M) | (210.8M) | (200.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 72.3M | 138.4M | (22.2M) | 31.4M | 28.3M | 26.8M | |
| Investments | (5M) | 9.7M | (1.4M) | (60.5M) | (71.3M) | (67.7M) |
Quad Graphics Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Quad Graphics or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Quad Graphics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Quad stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Quad Graphics Volatility Alert
Quad Graphics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.66 and kurtosis of 6.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Quad Graphics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Quad Graphics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Quad Graphics Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Quad Graphics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Quad Graphics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Quad Graphics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Quad Graphics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Quad Graphics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quad Graphics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Quad Graphics to competition |
| Fundamentals | Quad Graphics | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0408 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 813.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.84 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 25.12 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.58 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.09 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.96 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 598.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 227.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (55.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 625.3 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.97 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.95 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.34 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 147.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 9.13 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.14) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.63 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.15 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 236.61 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.51 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (573.9 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (203.1 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Jennifer Kent of 89431 shares of Quad Graphics subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Quad Graphics Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Quad . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Quad Graphics Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Quad Graphics? Buying financial instruments such as Quad Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Non Current Assets Total | 1.1B | 997.3M | 922M | 1.6B | Net Debt | 751.7M | 659.9M | 572.4M | 873.5M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Quad Graphics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Quad Graphics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.Note that the Quad Graphics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Quad Graphics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
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When running Quad Graphics' price analysis, check to measure Quad Graphics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quad Graphics is operating at the current time. Most of Quad Graphics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quad Graphics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quad Graphics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quad Graphics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Quad Graphics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quad Graphics. If investors know Quad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quad Graphics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.14) | Revenue Per Share 61.11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets 0.0408 | Return On Equity (0.38) |
The market value of Quad Graphics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quad Graphics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quad Graphics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quad Graphics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quad Graphics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quad Graphics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quad Graphics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quad Graphics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.