Polaris Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PII Stock  USD 100.12  1.04  1.05%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Polaris Industries is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Polaris Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PII positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Polaris Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Polaris Industries' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
105.28
Target Price
121.46
Hype Value
100
Market Value
100.12
Naive Value
101.23
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Polaris Industries given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Polaris Industries. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Polaris Industries, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Polaris Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Polaris Stock please use our How to Invest in Polaris Industries guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Polaris and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Polaris Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Polaris Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The Polaris recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Polaris Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Polaris Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Polaris Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Polaris IndustriesBuy Polaris Industries
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Polaris Industries has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0441, Jensen Alpha of (0.09), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0663
Macroaxis provides advice on Polaris Industries to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Polaris Industries. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Polaris Industries is not overpriced, please check all Polaris Industries fundamentals, including its total debt, target price, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Polaris Industries has a price to book of 3.99 X, we recommend you to check out Polaris Industries market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Polaris Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of March 2024 Polaris Industries paid $ 0.66 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: CD Projekts annual profit rises percent on strong Cyberpunk sales

Polaris Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Polaris Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Polaris Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Polaris Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Polaris Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Polaris Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Polaris Industries.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.74
Potential Upside
2.35
Standard Deviation
1.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Polaris Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Polaris Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Polaris Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Polaris Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Polaris Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Polaris Industries' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
641.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
618.2 K
Qube Research & Technologies2023-12-31
614 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2023-12-31
471.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
469.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
444.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
405.5 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
393.7 K
River Road Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
384.7 K
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
6.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
5.8 M
Note, although Polaris Industries' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Polaris Industries Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(149.9M)(44.9M)(503.1M)(391.1M)115.1M120.9M
Change In Cash3.2M461.2M(128.4M)(189.4M)43.3M45.5M
Free Cash Flow403.7M804.7M(4.6M)202M550.2M577.7M
Depreciation234.5M260.7M237.1M232.8M258.9M271.8M
Other Non Cash Items(27.3M)362.6M34.2M(41.5M)(5.4M)(5.1M)
Dividends Paid149.1M152.5M153.4M150M(147.3M)(139.9M)
Capital Expenditures251.4M213.9M298.3M306.6M412.6M433.2M
Net Income323.9M124.9M494.3M603.4M502.8M527.9M
End Period Cash Flow196.3M657.5M529.1M339.7M367.8M386.2M
Change To Netincome38.1M(35M)110M800K920K874K
Investments30.8M93.8M(5.6M)(324.6M)(512.3M)(486.7M)
Change Receivables6.8M(56.2M)(200K)(122.6M)(110.3M)(104.8M)
Net Borrowings(270.0M)(246.2M)351.3M257.7M296.4M160.1M

Polaris Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Polaris Industries or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Polaris Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Polaris stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.50
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Polaris Industries Volatility Alert

Polaris Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.52 and kurtosis of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Polaris Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Polaris Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Polaris Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Polaris Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Polaris Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Polaris Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Polaris Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Polaris Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Polaris Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Polaris Industries to competition
FundamentalsPolaris IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.4-0.31
Return On Asset0.0816-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding56.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.15 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.46 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.91 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.63 X11.42 X
Revenue15.91 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.01 B27.38 B
EBITDA700.9 M3.9 B
Net Income502.8 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents324.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.05 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.28 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share25.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations962.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.69 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.80 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.00 X4.89 X
Target Price98.23
Number Of Employees18.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.59-0.15
Market Capitalization5.65 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.52 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings243.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital757.9 M1.48 B
Note: Exercise or conversion by James Williams of 14000 shares of Polaris Industries subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Polaris Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Polaris . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Polaris Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Polaris Industries? Buying financial instruments such as Polaris Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.0B2.2B2.1B2.2B
Total Assets5.0B5.2B5.5B5.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Polaris Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Climate Change Thematic Idea Now

Climate Change
Climate Change Theme
Large and medium sized entities that are committing to fully or partially replace some traditional services or products with renewables sources of energy in order to combat global climate change. The Climate Change theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Polaris Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Polaris Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Polaris Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Polaris Industries Stock:
Check out Polaris Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Polaris Stock please use our How to Invest in Polaris Industries guide.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

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Is Polaris Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Polaris Industries. If investors know Polaris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Polaris Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Dividend Share
2.6
Earnings Share
8.8
Revenue Per Share
157.877
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Polaris Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Polaris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Polaris Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Polaris Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Polaris Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Polaris Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Polaris Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Polaris Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Polaris Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.