Nutrien Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTR Stock  USD 53.63  1.11  2.11%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Nutrien is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Nutrien buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Nutrien positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Nutrien's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Nutrien's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
50.61
Target Price
76.03
Hype Value
53.63
Market Value
53.63
Naive Value
52.34
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Nutrien given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Nutrien. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Nutrien, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Nutrien Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Nutrien Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nutrien guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nutrien and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Nutrien. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Nutrien Buy or Sell Advice

The Nutrien recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nutrien. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nutrien or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nutrien's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NutrienBuy Nutrien
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Nutrien has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.33), Total Risk Alpha of (0.49) and Treynor Ratio of (0.03)
Our trade recommendations module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Nutrien. Our trade recommendations engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Nutrien is not overpriced, please verify all Nutrien fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, net asset, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Nutrien has a price to book of 1.04 X, we recommend you to check Nutrien market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nutrien Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Nutrien generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Nutrien Ltds Dividend Analysis

Nutrien Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nutrien's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nutrien's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nutrien daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nutrien price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nutrien returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nutrien.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-3.12
Potential Upside
3.09
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nutrien historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nutrien Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Nutrien is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nutrien backward and forwards among themselves. Nutrien's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Nutrien's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
1832 Asset Management L.p2023-12-31
M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2023-12-31
7.7 M
Cibc Global Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
6.5 M
Bank Of Nova Scotia2023-12-31
6.1 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
5.9 M
Cibc World Markets Inc.2023-12-31
5.4 M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2023-12-31
5.2 M
The Toronto-dominion Bank2023-12-31
4.9 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
28.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
18.2 M
Note, although Nutrien's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nutrien Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory190M85M(1.5B)(1.3B)1.5B1.5B
Change In Cash(1.6B)783M(955M)402M35.6M30.3M
Depreciation1.8B2.0B2.0B2.0B2.2B2.4B
Other Non Cash Items103M241M250M(686M)1.1B1.2B
Dividends Paid1.0B1.0B1.0B1.0B1.1B1.1B
Capital Expenditures1.9B1.5B1.8B2.4B2.7B2.9B
Net Income992M459M3.2B7.7B1.3B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow671M1.5B499M901M936.2M983.0M
Change To Netincome384M301M443M(414M)(372.6M)(354.0M)
Net Borrowings482M(134M)(1.1B)672M604.8M635.0M
Investments(2.8B)438M(1.8B)(2.9B)(3.4B)(3.3B)

Nutrien Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nutrien or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nutrien's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nutrien stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Nutrien Volatility Alert

Nutrien exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.81 and kurtosis of 2.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nutrien's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nutrien's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Nutrien Implied Volatility

Nutrien's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nutrien stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nutrien's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nutrien stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nutrien's options are near their expiration.

Nutrien Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nutrien's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nutrien's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nutrien and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nutrien or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nutrien's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nutrien by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nutrien to competition
FundamentalsNutrienPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0502-0.31
Return On Asset0.0414-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation37.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding494.56 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions68.29 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.45 M4.71 M
Price To Earning75.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.93 X11.42 X
Revenue29.59 B9.43 B
Gross Profit15.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.14 B3.9 B
Net Income1.28 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents711 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.5 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share50.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.16 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.53 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.61 X4.89 X
Target Price66.99
Number Of Employees25.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization26.24 B19.03 B
Total Asset52.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings11.47 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.05 B1.48 B

Nutrien Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nutrien . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Nutrien Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nutrien? Buying financial instruments such as Nutrien Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total10.8B11.9B12.5B13.1B
Total Assets50.0B54.6B52.5B55.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nutrien in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run IT Thematic Idea Now

IT
IT Theme
Information Technology (IT) companies and IT service providers across different domains. The IT theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize IT Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Nutrien is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nutrien's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nutrien's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nutrien Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Nutrien Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Nutrien Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nutrien guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Is Nutrien's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nutrien. If investors know Nutrien will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nutrien listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Dividend Share
2.12
Earnings Share
2.53
Revenue Per Share
56.573
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of Nutrien is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nutrien that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nutrien's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nutrien's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nutrien's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nutrien's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nutrien's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nutrien is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nutrien's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.