Nl Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NL Stock | USD 7.99 0.27 3.50% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NL Industries is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides NL Industries buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of NL Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting NL Industries' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.2 | Target Price 5 | Hype Value 7.72 | Market Value 7.99 | Naive Value 7.36 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NL Industries given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NL Industries. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NL Industries, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
NL Industries |
Execute NL Industries Buy or Sell Advice
The NL Industries recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NL Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NL Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NL Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
NL Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 161.29 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (2.31 M) with gross profit of 48.8 M. | |
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 21st of March 2024 NL Industries paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Meredith Mendes of 2750 shares of NL Industries subject to Rule 16b-3 |
NL Industries Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NL Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NL Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NL Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NL Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NL Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NL Industries.
| Mean Return | 0.63 | Value At Risk | -2.76 | Potential Upside | 5.41 | Standard Deviation | 2.88 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NL Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NL Industries Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NL Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NL Industries backward and forwards among themselves. NL Industries' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NL Industries' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 117.4 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 95 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 58.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 50.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 44.4 K | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 38.5 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 34.2 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 33.7 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2023-12-31 | 28.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 568.5 K |
NL Industries Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 36.9M | 7.4M | 10.0M | (77.7M) | 42.7M | 44.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 24.3M | 17.3M | 13.5M | 23.2M | 35.9M | 37.7M | |
| Depreciation | 3.7M | 3.8M | 3.8M | 4.0M | 4.6M | 4.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 927K | 1.4M | 1.1M | 3.7M | 43.4M | 45.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.2M | 1.7M | 4.1M | 3.7M | 1.1M | 1.1M | |
| Net Income | 28.0M | 16.1M | 53.4M | 36.5M | (2.3M) | (2.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 157.9M | 165.3M | 175.2M | 97.5M | 114.4M | 76.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 25.4M | 7.8M | 11.7M | 30.8M | 13.7M | 22.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.4M) | (193K) | (7.5M) | (5.8M) | 333K | 349.7K | |
| Change To Netincome | (10.0M) | 11.1M | (18.3M) | 4.4M | 4.0M | 4.6M | |
| Investments | 5.9M | (1.4M) | 10.8M | (64.5M) | (75.9M) | (72.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | 15.5M | 1.1M | (4.5M) | (2.3M) | (2.0M) | (1.9M) |
NL Industries Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NL Industries or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NL Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NL Industries stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
NL Industries Volatility Alert
NL Industries currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.19 and Jensen Alpha of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NL Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NL Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.NL Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NL Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NL Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NL Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NL Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NL Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NL Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NL Industries to competition |
| Fundamentals | NL Industries | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0015 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0175 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 232.33 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 48.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 82.99 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.85 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 96.56 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.05 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 161.29 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 48.8 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 23.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.31 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 68.87 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 500 K | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 37 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.14 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.05) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.42) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.75 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 376.99 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 600.2 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 284.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 187.81 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Meredith Mendes of 2750 shares of NL Industries subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
NL Industries Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NL Industries . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About NL Industries Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NL Industries? Buying financial instruments such as NL Industries Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 450K | 427.5K | Total Assets | 600.2M | 704.5M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having NL Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Cancer Fighters
Biotech and medical diagnostic companies that work on researching drugs or manufacturing of medical and therapeutics equipment that is directly related to the research, treatment, and detection of cancer or cancer related diseases. The Cancer Fighters theme has 59 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cancer Fighters Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out NL Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy NL Industries Stock please use our How to buy in NL Industries Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for NL Industries Stock analysis
When running NL Industries' price analysis, check to measure NL Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NL Industries is operating at the current time. Most of NL Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NL Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NL Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NL Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NL Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NL Industries. If investors know NL Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NL Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.382 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share (0.05) | Revenue Per Share 3.303 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.08 |
The market value of NL Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NL Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NL Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NL Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NL Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NL Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NL Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NL Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NL Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.