Vail Resorts Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
MTN Stock | USD 204.75 2.10 1.04% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Vail Resorts is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vail Resorts buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MTN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vail Resorts' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vail Resorts' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 237.96 | Target Price 265.33 | Hype Value 202.64 | Market Value 204.75 | Naive Value 184.79 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vail Resorts given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vail Resorts. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vail Resorts, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vail |
Execute Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice
The Vail recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vail Resorts. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vail Resorts or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vail Resorts' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Vail Resorts Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Vail Resorts has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 11th of April 2024 Vail Resorts paid $ 2.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Slowing Rates Of Return At Vail Resorts Leave Little Room For Excitement |
Vail Resorts Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vail Resorts' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vail Resorts' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vail Resorts daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vail Resorts price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vail Resorts returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vail Resorts.
Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 2.06 | Standard Deviation | 1.60 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vail Resorts historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vail Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Vail Resorts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vail Resorts backward and forwards among themselves. Vail Resorts' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Vail Resorts' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 599.4 K | Eagle Asset Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 491.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 448.4 K | Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s | 2023-12-31 | 417.3 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 401.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 342.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 336.7 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 290.7 K | Td Global Investment Solutions – Td Epoch | 2023-12-31 | 277.2 K | Bamco Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.9 M |
Vail Resorts Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (1.9M) | 22.8M | (28.0M) | (23.4M) | (21.1M) | (20.0M) | |
Change In Cash | 283.7M | 856.5M | (132.5M) | (553.0M) | (636.0M) | (604.2M) | |
Free Cash Flow | 222.6M | 410.2M | 517.7M | 324.7M | 373.3M | 392.0M | |
Depreciation | 249.6M | 252.6M | 252.4M | 268.5M | 308.8M | 324.2M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 21.2M | 12.5M | (20.2M) | 54.2M | 48.8M | 30.1M | |
Capital Expenditures | 172.3M | 115.1M | 192.8M | 314.9M | 362.1M | 380.3M | |
Net Income | 109.1M | 124.5M | 368.3M | 285.1M | 327.9M | 344.3M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 402.1M | 1.3B | 1.1B | 573.1M | 659.1M | 692.0M | |
Change To Netincome | 42.2M | 17.4M | (21.7M) | 120.6M | 108.6M | 114.0M | |
Dividends Paid | 212.7M | 78.2M | 225.8M | 314.4M | 361.5M | 379.6M | |
Change Receivables | (44.3M) | (35.4M) | 167.3M | (39.0M) | (44.9M) | (42.6M) | |
Net Borrowings | 1.5B | 494.6M | (146.6M) | (73.9M) | (85.0M) | (80.7M) | |
Investments | (492.7M) | (103.3M) | (347.9M) | (273.2M) | (314.1M) | (329.8M) |
Vail Resorts Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vail Resorts or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vail Resorts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vail stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Vail Resorts Volatility Alert
Vail Resorts exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.66 and kurtosis of 2.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vail Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vail Resorts Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vail Resorts' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vail Resorts' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vail Resorts and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vail Resorts or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vail Resorts' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vail Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vail Resorts to competition |
Fundamentals | Vail Resorts | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0546 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.33 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 10.19 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 37.97 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.37 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.63 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.96 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 71.25 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 10.38 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 3.03 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 2.89 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 1.27 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 832.27 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 285.1 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 562.98 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 27.49 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 3.03 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.59 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.61 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 21.86 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 639.56 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 3.28 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 6.12 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.00 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 240.4 | |
Number Of Employees | 7.2 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.11 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 7.69 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 5.95 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 873.71 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 77.42 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by John Redmond of 1031 shares of Vail Resorts subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vail Resorts Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vail . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 11831.91 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4 | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
Day Median Price | 203.93 | |||
Day Typical Price | 204.2 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 1.87 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 2.1 |
About Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vail Resorts? Buying financial instruments such as Vail Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.9B | 3.0B | 3.5B | 3.7B | Total Assets | 6.3B | 5.9B | 6.8B | 7.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vail Resorts in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now
Office Supplies
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Vail Stock analysis
When running Vail Resorts' price analysis, check to measure Vail Resorts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vail Resorts is operating at the current time. Most of Vail Resorts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vail Resorts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vail Resorts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vail Resorts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vail Resorts' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.116 | Dividend Share 8.24 | Earnings Share 6.12 | Revenue Per Share 73.853 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.