Mercury Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MRCY Stock | USD 28.48 1.04 3.79% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Mercury Systems is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mercury Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MRCY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mercury Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mercury Systems' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 23.56 | Target Price 42.88 | Hype Value 27.44 | Market Value 28.48 | Naive Value 26.59 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mercury Systems given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mercury Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mercury Systems, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mercury |
Execute Mercury Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The Mercury recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mercury Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mercury Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mercury Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Mercury Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mercury Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 973.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 316.73 M. | |
| Mercury Systems currently holds about 65.65 M in cash with (21.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.14. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mercury Auto Transport Continues to Steer with its Global Expansion Via Strategic Alliance and Tapping into New Markets |
Mercury Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mercury Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mercury Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mercury Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mercury Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mercury Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mercury Systems.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -3.44 | Potential Upside | 3.51 | Standard Deviation | 2.82 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mercury Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mercury Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mercury Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercury Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Mercury Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mercury Systems' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Segall Bryant & Hamill | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2023-12-31 | 913.5 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 890.7 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 838.2 K | Snyder Capital Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 807.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 766.8 K | Cooper Creek Partners Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 630.9 K | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 589.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 560 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.5 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.6 M |
Mercury Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (31.6M) | (27.4M) | (40.9M) | (64.1M) | (57.7M) | (54.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | (31.1M) | (113.0M) | (48.2M) | 5.9M | 5.3M | 5.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 71.9M | 51.6M | (46.5M) | (60.1M) | (69.1M) | (65.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 49.3M | 67.1M | 93.4M | 97.3M | 111.9M | 117.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 58K | 3.7M | (1.4M) | 5.2M | 6.0M | 6.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 43.3M | 45.6M | 27.7M | 38.8M | 44.6M | 46.8M | |
| Net Income | 85.7M | 62.0M | 11.3M | (28.3M) | (32.6M) | (31.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 226.8M | 113.8M | 65.7M | 71.6M | 82.3M | 79.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.2M | 30.9M | 34.5M | (26.6M) | (30.6M) | (29.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.3M | 206.3M | 254.0M | 5.5M | 6.3M | 6.0M | |
| Investments | (135.5M) | 1.5M | (274.3M) | (38.6M) | (44.3M) | (46.6M) |
Mercury Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercury Systems or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercury Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercury stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Mercury Systems Volatility Alert
Mercury Systems exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 7.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercury Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercury Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mercury Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mercury Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mercury Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mercury Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mercury Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mercury Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercury Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mercury Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mercury Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.056 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0214 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.1) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.75 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 34.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.91 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 973.88 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 316.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 89.37 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (28.34 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 65.65 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.14 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 578.3 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 26.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (21.25 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.49) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 26.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.63 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.39 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 357.44 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 703.75 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 129 shares by Steve Ratner of Mercury Systems at 28.75 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mercury Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mercury . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mercury Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mercury Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Mercury Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 68.5M | 7.4M | 8.5M | 8.1M | Total Assets | 2.3B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mercury Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Entities that are involved in raising capital, merging with and acquiring companies, and investing in private equity through leveraged buyouts. The SPAC theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SPAC Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mercury Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Mercury Stock please use our How to Invest in Mercury Systems guide.Note that the Mercury Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercury Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Mercury Stock analysis
When running Mercury Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mercury Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercury Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mercury Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercury Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercury Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercury Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mercury Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercury Systems. If investors know Mercury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercury Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share (1.49) | Revenue Per Share 15.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Mercury Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercury Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercury Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercury Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercury Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercury Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mercury Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercury Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.