Mondelez International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MDLZ Stock  USD 68.11  0.94  1.40%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Mondelez International is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mondelez International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MDLZ positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mondelez International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mondelez International's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
72.64
Target Price
75.67
Hype Value
68.06
Market Value
68.11
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mondelez International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mondelez International. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mondelez International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mondelez International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Mondelez Stock please use our How to Invest in Mondelez International guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mondelez and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mondelez International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Mondelez International Buy or Sell Advice

The Mondelez recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mondelez International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mondelez International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mondelez International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mondelez InternationalBuy Mondelez International
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mondelez International has a Mean Deviation of 0.7855, Standard Deviation of 0.9725 and Variance of 0.9457
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Mondelez International that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Mondelez International. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Mondelez International is not overpriced, please verify all Mondelez International fundamentals, including its revenue, earnings per share, five year return, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . Given that Mondelez International has a price to earning of 25.02 X, we recommend you to check Mondelez International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mondelez International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mondelez International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 19.95 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mondelez International has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mondelez International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mondelez International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mondelez International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mondelez to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mondelez International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Mondelez International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 84.0% of Mondelez International shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of April 2024 Mondelez International paid $ 0.425 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from smh.com.au: Explain why Australians are paying more Multinationals to face supermarket inquiry

Mondelez International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mondelez International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mondelez International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mondelez International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mondelez International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mondelez International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mondelez International.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-2
Potential Upside
1.40
Standard Deviation
0.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mondelez International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mondelez Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mondelez International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mondelez International backward and forwards among themselves. Mondelez International's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mondelez International's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
18.1 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
17.1 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
17 M
Lindsell Train Ltd2023-12-31
16.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
16.8 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32023-12-31
14.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
13 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
11.3 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
10.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
124.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
99.1 M
Note, although Mondelez International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mondelez International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash228M2.3B(97M)(1.6B)(64M)(60.8M)
Free Cash Flow3.0B3.1B3.2B3.0B3.6B2.2B
Other Non Cash Items(28M)(600M)(963M)518M(1.1B)(1.0B)
Capital Expenditures925M863M965M906M1.1B1.4B
Net Income3.9B3.6B4.3B2.7B5.0B3.5B
End Period Cash Flow1.3B3.7B3.6B1.9B1.9B1.5B
Change To Inventory31M(24M)(170M)(635M)(193M)(183.4M)
Depreciation1.0B1.1B1.1B1.1B1.2B1.1B
Dividends Paid1.5B1.7B1.8B2.0B(2.2B)(2.1B)
Change To Netincome(563M)(530M)(637M)605M544.5M571.7M
Net Borrowings(78M)722M(132M)3.4B3.9B4.1B
Investments(960M)500M(26M)(4.9B)2.8B3.0B

Mondelez International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mondelez International or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mondelez International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mondelez stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Mondelez International Volatility Alert

Mondelez International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of -0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mondelez International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mondelez International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mondelez International Implied Volatility

Mondelez International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mondelez International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mondelez International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mondelez International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mondelez International's options are near their expiration.

Mondelez International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mondelez International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mondelez International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mondelez International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mondelez International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mondelez International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mondelez International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mondelez International to competition
FundamentalsMondelez InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0524-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation110.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.35 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.69 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted15.32 M4.71 M
Price To Earning25.02 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.49 X11.42 X
Revenue36.02 B9.43 B
Gross Profit11.36 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.5 B3.9 B
Net Income4.97 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.05 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.50 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share21.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.71 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.97 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.62 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.29 X4.89 X
Target Price82.88
Number Of Employees91 K18.84 K
Beta0.57-0.15
Market Capitalization91.62 B19.03 B
Total Asset71.39 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings34.24 B9.33 B
Working Capital(7.31 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Stephanie Lilak of 15770 shares of Mondelez International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mondelez International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mondelez . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mondelez International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mondelez International? Buying financial instruments such as Mondelez Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity28.3B26.9B28.3B29.2B
Total Assets67.1B71.2B71.4B69.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mondelez International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Mondelez International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mondelez International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mondelez International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mondelez International Stock:
Check out Mondelez International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Mondelez Stock please use our How to Invest in Mondelez International guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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Is Mondelez International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mondelez International. If investors know Mondelez will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mondelez International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.669
Dividend Share
1.62
Earnings Share
3.62
Revenue Per Share
26.424
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Mondelez International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mondelez that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mondelez International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mondelez International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mondelez International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mondelez International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mondelez International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mondelez International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mondelez International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.