Marriott International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MAR Stock  USD 252.31  1.25  0.49%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Marriott International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Marriott International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MAR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Marriott International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Marriott International's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
204.37
Target Price
208.75
Hype Value
252.31
Market Value
252.31
Naive Value
251.95
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Marriott International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Marriott International. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Marriott International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Marriott International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Marriott Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marriott International guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Marriott and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Marriott International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Marriott International Buy or Sell Advice

The Marriott recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marriott International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marriott International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marriott International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Marriott InternationalBuy Marriott International
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Marriott International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0962, Jensen Alpha of 0.0137, Total Risk Alpha of (0.08), Sortino Ratio of 0.0419 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1348
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Marriott International to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Marriott International. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Marriott International is not overpriced, please verify all Marriott International fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Marriott International has a price to book of 47.45 X, we recommend you to check Marriott International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Marriott International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 12.76 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 9.81, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Marriott International has a current ratio of 0.51, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Marriott International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marriott International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marriott International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marriott to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marriott International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 65.0% of Marriott International shares are owned by institutional investors
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Marriott International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Marriott International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marriott International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marriott International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marriott International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marriott International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marriott International.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-1.42
Potential Upside
2.17
Standard Deviation
1.21
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marriott International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Marriott Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Marriott International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marriott International backward and forwards among themselves. Marriott International's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Marriott International's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32023-12-31
3.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
M
Capital Research Global Investors2023-12-31
2.6 M
Eagle Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Parnassus Investments, Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
2.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
2.3 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
21 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
15.2 M
Note, although Marriott International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Marriott International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(107M)641M527M(896M)(159M)(151.1M)
Free Cash Flow1.0B1.5B994M2.0B2.7B2.9B
Depreciation403M478M295M282M277M231.6M
Other Non Cash Items295M1.7B(228M)(207M)148M157.9M
Capital Expenditures653M135M183M332M452M371.4M
Net Income1.3B(267M)1.1B2.4B3.1B3.2B
End Period Cash Flow253M894M1.4B525M366M435.6M
Dividends Paid612M156M(90M)321M(587M)(557.7M)
Investments51M8M40M(297M)(523M)(496.9M)
Net Borrowings562M1.7B(536M)179M205.9M332.5M
Change To Netincome420M1.3B202M261M300.2M223.0M

Marriott International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marriott International or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marriott International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marriott stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Marriott International Volatility Alert

Marriott International has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.47 and kurtosis of 7.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marriott International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marriott International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Marriott International Implied Volatility

Marriott International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marriott International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marriott International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marriott International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marriott International's options are near their expiration.

Marriott International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Marriott International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marriott International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marriott International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marriott International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marriott International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marriott International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Marriott International to competition
FundamentalsMarriott InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0972-0.14
Profit Margin0.49 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.43 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation85.84 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding289.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.52 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.88 M4.71 M
Price To Earning24.44 X28.72 X
Price To Book47.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales11.65 X11.42 X
Revenue23.71 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.28 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.28 B3.9 B
Net Income3.08 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.04 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.30 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.76 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.81 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.52 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(2.35) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.17 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share10.17 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.56 X4.89 X
Target Price242.95
Number Of Employees411 K18.84 K
Beta1.63-0.15
Market Capitalization73.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset25.67 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.84 B9.33 B
Working Capital(4.45 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Arne Sorenson of 18726 shares of Marriott International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Marriott International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marriott . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Marriott International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Marriott International? Buying financial instruments such as Marriott Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total11.2B11.1B12.8B13.4B
Total Assets25.6B24.8B25.7B14.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Marriott International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Theme ETFs
Theme ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Theme ETFs theme has 491 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Theme ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Marriott International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Marriott International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Marriott International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Marriott Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Marriott International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Marriott Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marriott International guide.
Note that the Marriott International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Marriott International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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Is Marriott International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marriott International. If investors know Marriott will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marriott International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.354
Dividend Share
1.96
Earnings Share
10.17
Revenue Per Share
20.896
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.116
The market value of Marriott International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marriott that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marriott International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marriott International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marriott International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marriott International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marriott International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marriott International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marriott International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.