Macys Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| M Stock | USD 19.01 0.02 0.11% |
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Macys Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Macys buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Macys positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Macys' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Macys' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 16.98 | Target Price 14.73 | Hype Value 19.08 | Market Value 19.01 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Macys Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Macys. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Macys Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Macys |
Execute Macys Buy or Sell Advice
The Macys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Macys Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Macys Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Macys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Macys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Macys Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of April 2024 Macys paid $ 0.1737 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why Macys Outpaced Its Industry in the Past 6 Months - Zacks Investment Research |
Macys Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Macys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Macys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Macys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Macys Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Macys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Macys.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -3.16 | Potential Upside | 3.97 | Standard Deviation | 2.91 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Macys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Macys Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Macys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macys Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Macys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Macys' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 3.7 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.7 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.6 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 3.4 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 35 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 25.1 M |
Macys Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 75M | 1.4B | (610M) | 116M | (99M) | (94.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | (517M) | 1.0B | (39M) | (850M) | 172M | 180.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 451M | 183M | 2.1B | 320M | 312M | 296.4M | |
| Depreciation | 981M | 959M | 874M | 857M | 897M | 941.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 285M | 3.7B | 139M | 19M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.2B | 466M | 597M | 1.3B | 993M | 840.7M | |
| Net Income | 564M | (3.9B) | 1.4B | 1.2B | 105M | 99.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 731M | 1.8B | 1.7B | 865M | 1.0B | 1.0B | |
| Change To Netincome | 282M | 3.4B | 143M | 24M | 27.6M | 26.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 466M | 117M | 90M | 173M | (181M) | (172.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (662M) | 912M | (1.6B) | (472M) | (424.8M) | (403.6M) | |
| Investments | (1.0B) | (325M) | (370M) | (1.2B) | (913M) | (958.7M) |
Macys Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Macys or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Macys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Macys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0015 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Macys Volatility Alert
Macys Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Macys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Macys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Macys Implied Volatility
Macys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Macys Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Macys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Macys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Macys' options are near their expiration.
Macys Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Macys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Macys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Macys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Macys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Macys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Macys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Macys to competition |
| Fundamentals | Macys | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0256 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0507 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.13 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 274.27 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.52 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.65 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.95 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.28 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 23.87 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 10 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.25 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 105 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 862 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.34 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.77 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.09 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.3 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.38 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.91 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.43 | |
| Number Of Employees | 85.58 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.21 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 17.42 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.19 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.66 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Antony Spring of 673 shares of Macys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Macys Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Macys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Macys Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Macys Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Macys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 6.8B | 6.4B | 6.3B | 7.0B | Total Assets | 17.6B | 16.9B | 17.4B | 20.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Macys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Municipals ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Municipals ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Municipals ETFs theme has 89 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Municipals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Macys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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When running Macys' price analysis, check to measure Macys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macys is operating at the current time. Most of Macys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Macys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. If investors know Macys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 0.662 | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share 87.039 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Macys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.