Kingsway Financial Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KFS Stock | USD 8.70 0.10 1.14% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kingsway Financial Services is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Kingsway Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KFS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Kingsway Financial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Kingsway Financial's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.89 | Target Price 1 | Hype Value 8.8 | Market Value 8.7 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kingsway Financial Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kingsway Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kingsway Financial Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Kingsway |
Execute Kingsway Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Kingsway recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kingsway Financial Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kingsway Financial Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kingsway Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Kingsway Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Kingsway Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 45.61 M in debt. Kingsway Financial has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Kingsway Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kingsway Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kingsway Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kingsway to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kingsway Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Kingsway Financial Services has about 64.17 M in cash with (26.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5. | |
| Kingsway Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
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Kingsway Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Kingsway Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kingsway Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kingsway Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kingsway Financial Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kingsway Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kingsway Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -2.21 | Potential Upside | 3.28 | Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kingsway Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Kingsway Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Kingsway Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingsway Financial Services backward and forwards among themselves. Kingsway Financial's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Kingsway Financial's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Strs Ohio | 2023-12-31 | 59.3 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 53.6 K | Annandale Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 49.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 39.6 K | Sequoia Financial Advisors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 33.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 32.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 30.3 K | O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 27.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 27.3 K | Stilwell Value Llc | 2023-12-31 | 7.4 M | Wasatch Advisors Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 828.6 K |
Kingsway Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 5.8M | 19.3M | (15.0M) | 47.3M | (59.7M) | (56.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.1M) | 1.5M | (6.7M) | 11.9M | (26.4M) | (27.7M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12.3M | (6.5M) | (3.6M) | (59.2M) | (32.6M) | (34.2M) | |
| Net Income | (29.4M) | (5.4M) | 1.9M | 27.9M | 25.1M | 26.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 49.7M | 44.9M | 29.9M | 77.2M | 17.5M | 16.6M | |
| Investments | (2.5M) | 4.0M | 4.5M | 32.2M | 6.5M | 9.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.4M | 14.3M | 572K | 1.0M | 1.2M | 1.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | (514K) | (5.4M) | 781K | (50.9M) | (45.8M) | (43.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (4.5M) | (438K) | 1.7M | (7K) | (8.1K) | (8.5K) |
Kingsway Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kingsway Financial or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kingsway Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kingsway stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Kingsway Financial Volatility Alert
Kingsway Financial Services has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.41 and kurtosis of 1.71. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kingsway Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kingsway Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Kingsway Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Kingsway Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kingsway Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kingsway Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kingsway Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kingsway Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kingsway Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Kingsway Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Kingsway Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 1.09 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0061 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 273.18 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 28.12 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 27.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 46.79 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 419.7 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (16.38) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 109.3 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 66.96 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5.93 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 25.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 64.17 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.50 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 45.61 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.02 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (26.21 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 12.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.95 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 397 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.088 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 247.47 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 206.73 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (346.87 M) | 9.33 B |
| Net Asset | 206.73 M |
Note: Disposition of 635 shares by Joseph Stilwell of Kingsway Financial at 8.7572 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Kingsway Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kingsway . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Kingsway Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Kingsway Financial Services? Buying financial instruments such as Kingsway Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 773K | 21.7M | 27.7M | 26.3M | Total Assets | 475.6M | 285.7M | 206.7M | 196.4M |
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Check out Kingsway Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Kingsway Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kingsway Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Kingsway Stock analysis
When running Kingsway Financial's price analysis, check to measure Kingsway Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingsway Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Kingsway Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingsway Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingsway Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingsway Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kingsway Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kingsway Financial. If investors know Kingsway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kingsway Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.95 | Revenue Per Share 4.253 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.114 | Return On Assets 0.0061 | Return On Equity 1.0935 |
The market value of Kingsway Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kingsway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kingsway Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kingsway Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kingsway Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kingsway Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kingsway Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kingsway Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kingsway Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.