Keycorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KEY Stock | USD 14.93 0.21 1.43% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding KeyCorp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides KeyCorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KeyCorp positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of KeyCorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting KeyCorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.06 | Target Price 12.74 | Hype Value 14.72 | Market Value 14.93 | Naive Value 14.53 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell KeyCorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards KeyCorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for KeyCorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
KeyCorp |
Execute KeyCorp Buy or Sell Advice
The KeyCorp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on KeyCorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in KeyCorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute KeyCorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
KeyCorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of March 2024 KeyCorp paid $ 0.205 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call PPG beats Q1 EPS estimates, plans strategic reviews |
KeyCorp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of KeyCorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of KeyCorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of KeyCorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use KeyCorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of KeyCorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for KeyCorp.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.11 | Potential Upside | 3.02 | Standard Deviation | 1.80 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of KeyCorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
KeyCorp Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as KeyCorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KeyCorp backward and forwards among themselves. KeyCorp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase KeyCorp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 17.9 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 15.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 10.9 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 10.3 M | Earnest Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 9 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 8.9 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 8.8 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 109.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 95.9 M |
KeyCorp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 7M | 54M | 359M | (178M) | (26M) | 84.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.8B | 1.6B | 1.1B | 4.4B | 2.8B | 1.5B | |
| Depreciation | 241M | 111M | 32M | 137M | 134M | 127.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 990M | 4M | (1.8B) | 2.5B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Dividends Paid | 804M | 829M | 823M | 854M | 911M | 456.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 85M | 63M | 66M | 108M | 142M | 99.8M | |
| Net Income | 1.7B | 1.3B | 2.6B | 1.9B | 964M | 894.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 732M | 1.1B | 913M | 887M | 941M | 1.5B | |
| Investments | 152M | (2.4B) | (16.0B) | (1.8B) | 242M | 254.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.3B) | 986M | (1.6B) | 16.7B | 19.2B | 20.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | 12.1B | 15.0B | 15.6B | 12.7B | 14.6B | 10.1B |
KeyCorp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to KeyCorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that KeyCorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a KeyCorp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
KeyCorp Volatility Alert
KeyCorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure KeyCorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact KeyCorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.KeyCorp Implied Volatility
KeyCorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KeyCorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KeyCorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KeyCorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when KeyCorp's options are near their expiration.
KeyCorp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing KeyCorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze KeyCorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between KeyCorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as KeyCorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of KeyCorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KeyCorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare KeyCorp to competition |
| Fundamentals | KeyCorp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0604 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0045 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 37.58 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 942.78 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 81.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.76 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.12 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 10.4 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.74 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 964 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.78 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 22.64 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.9 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.06 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.78 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.74 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 16.47 | |
| Number Of Employees | 16.75 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 13.88 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 188.28 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 15.67 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.74 % |
Note: Acquisition by Todd Vasos of 1581 shares of KeyCorp subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
KeyCorp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as KeyCorp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 433849.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4884 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.21 |
About KeyCorp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell KeyCorp? Buying financial instruments such as KeyCorp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 12.6B | 30.1B | 22.6B | 14.5B | Total Assets | 186.3B | 189.8B | 188.3B | 103.4B |
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Check out KeyCorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy KeyCorp Stock please use our How to Invest in KeyCorp guide.Note that the KeyCorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other KeyCorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for KeyCorp Stock analysis
When running KeyCorp's price analysis, check to measure KeyCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KeyCorp is operating at the current time. Most of KeyCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KeyCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KeyCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KeyCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is KeyCorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KeyCorp. If investors know KeyCorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KeyCorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 0.82 | Earnings Share 0.78 | Revenue Per Share 6.193 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of KeyCorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KeyCorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KeyCorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KeyCorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KeyCorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KeyCorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KeyCorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KeyCorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KeyCorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.