Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KDP Stock  USD 30.67  0.08  0.26%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Keurig Dr Pepper is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Keurig Dr buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KDP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Keurig Dr's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Keurig Dr's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
33.37
Target Price
36
Hype Value
30.65
Market Value
30.67
Naive Value
31.53
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Keurig Dr Pepper given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Keurig Dr. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Keurig Dr Pepper, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Keurig Dr Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Keurig and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Keurig Dr Pepper. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Keurig Dr Buy or Sell Advice

The Keurig recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Keurig Dr Pepper. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Keurig Dr Pepper or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Keurig Dr's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Keurig DrBuy Keurig Dr
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Keurig Dr Pepper has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.34) and Treynor Ratio of (0.41)
Our trade recommendations module can be used to complement Keurig Dr Pepper advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Keurig Dr Pepper is not overpriced, please verify all Keurig Dr Pepper fundamentals, including its short ratio, current asset, and the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Keurig Dr Pepper has a price to book of 1.61 X, we recommend you to check Keurig Dr market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Keurig Dr Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 14.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Keurig Dr until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Keurig Dr's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Keurig Dr Pepper sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Keurig Dr's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 68.0% of Keurig Dr shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Keurig Dr Pepper to Report First Quarter 2024 Results and Host Conference Call

Keurig Dr Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Keurig Dr's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Keurig Dr's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Keurig Dr daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Keurig Dr Pepper price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Keurig Dr returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Keurig Dr.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-2.09
Potential Upside
1.73
Standard Deviation
1.14
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Keurig Dr historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Keurig Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Keurig Dr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Keurig Dr Pepper backward and forwards among themselves. Keurig Dr's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Keurig Dr's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
13.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
11.6 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
11.4 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
10.9 M
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2023-12-31
10.3 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss Llc2023-12-31
10.2 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
9.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
9.7 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
9.5 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
108 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
83 M
Note, although Keurig Dr's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Keurig Dr Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(24M)(107M)(133M)(426M)182M191.1M
Capital Expenditures365M517M455M379M481M505.1M
Net Income1.3B1.3B2.1B1.4B2.2B2.3B
Change In Cash(28M)144M313M(33M)(268M)(254.6M)
Free Cash Flow2.1B1.9B2.4B2.5B848M1.2B
Other Non Cash Items115M278M(450M)1.2B63M125.5M
End Period Cash Flow111M255M568M535M267M391.7M
Change To Netincome145M308M(436M)842M968.3M1.0B
Depreciation698M653M708M709M720M381.9M
Dividends Paid844M846M955M1.1B1.1B644.5M
Investments(48M)(11M)559M(1.1B)(784M)(744.8M)
Net Borrowings(994M)(780M)(1.6B)(115M)(132.3M)(125.6M)

Keurig Dr Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Keurig Dr or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Keurig Dr's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Keurig stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Keurig Dr Volatility Alert

Keurig Dr Pepper exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.42 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Keurig Dr's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Keurig Dr's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Keurig Dr Implied Volatility

Keurig Dr's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Keurig Dr Pepper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Keurig Dr's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Keurig Dr stock will not fluctuate a lot when Keurig Dr's options are near their expiration.

Keurig Dr Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Keurig Dr's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Keurig Dr's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Keurig Dr and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Keurig Dr or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Keurig Dr's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keurig Dr by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Keurig Dr to competition
FundamentalsKeurig DrPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0859-0.31
Return On Asset0.0387-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation55.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.35 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.88 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.66 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.79 X11.42 X
Revenue14.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.33 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.98 B3.9 B
Net Income2.18 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents925 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.65 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.82 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.33 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.55 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.06 X4.89 X
Target Price35.05
Number Of Employees28.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.66-0.15
Market Capitalization41.38 B19.03 B
Total Asset52.13 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.56 B9.33 B
Working Capital(5.54 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Robert Singer of 6014 shares of Keurig Dr subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Keurig Dr Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Keurig . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Keurig Dr Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Keurig Dr Pepper? Buying financial instruments such as Keurig Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities613M2.0B166M157.7M
Total Assets50.6B51.8B52.1B54.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Keurig Dr in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Social Domain
Social Domain Theme
New or established large and mid-sized companies that are involved in the social media industry, including entities that provide web-based or mobile media applications and services across across large segment of population in multiple geographical areas. The Social Domain theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Social Domain Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Keurig Dr Pepper is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Keurig Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Keurig Dr Pepper Stock:
Check out Keurig Dr Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Keurig Dr Pepper information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Keurig Dr's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

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Is Keurig Dr's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Keurig Dr. If investors know Keurig will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Keurig Dr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.554
Dividend Share
0.83
Earnings Share
1.55
Revenue Per Share
10.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
The market value of Keurig Dr Pepper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Keurig that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Keurig Dr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Keurig Dr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Keurig Dr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Keurig Dr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keurig Dr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keurig Dr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keurig Dr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.