Johnson Controls International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JCI Stock | USD 64.64 0.98 1.54% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Johnson Controls International is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Johnson Controls buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JCI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Johnson Controls' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Johnson Controls' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 71.65 | Target Price 70.21 | Hype Value 64.79 | Market Value 64.64 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Johnson Controls International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Johnson Controls. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Johnson Controls International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Johnson |
Execute Johnson Controls Buy or Sell Advice
The Johnson recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Johnson Controls International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Johnson Controls International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Johnson Controls' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Johnson Controls Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of April 2024 Johnson Controls paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DOAS Market Insights Report, 2024-2028 2033, Featuring Johnson Controls International, Daikin Industries, Lucky Goldstar Electronics, Samsung Electronics, and Nortek Global HVAC |
Johnson Controls Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Johnson Controls' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Johnson Controls' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Johnson Controls daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Johnson Controls International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Johnson Controls returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Johnson Controls.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -1.72 | Potential Upside | 2.07 | Standard Deviation | 1.27 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Johnson Controls historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Johnson Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Johnson Controls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Johnson Controls International backward and forwards among themselves. Johnson Controls' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Johnson Controls' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 7.6 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M | Putnam Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 5.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 71.4 M | Dodge & Cox | 2023-12-31 | 67.8 M |
Johnson Controls Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 250M | (219M) | (773M) | (81M) | (72.9M) | (76.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | (870M) | (624M) | 689M | (1.2B) | (1.1B) | (1.0B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 879M | 1.9B | 1.4B | 1.7B | 1.9B | 2.0B | |
| Depreciation | 206M | 845M | 830M | 848M | 975.2M | 659.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (105M) | (787M) | 211M | (1.9B) | (1.7B) | (1.7B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 194M | 762M | 916M | 980M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 96M | 552M | 592M | 539M | 619.9M | 766.6M | |
| Net Income | 490M | 1.7B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.0B | 1.3B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.6B | |
| Change To Netincome | 50M | (566M) | 363M | 229M | 206.1M | 216.4M | |
| Investments | 51M | (1.1B) | (693M) | (1.2B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 373M | (28M) | 2.0B | (433M) | (389.7M) | (370.2M) |
Johnson Controls Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Johnson Controls or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Johnson Controls' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Johnson stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Johnson Controls Volatility Alert
Johnson Controls International has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 2.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Johnson Controls' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Johnson Controls' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Johnson Controls Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Johnson Controls' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Johnson Controls' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Johnson Controls and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Johnson Controls or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Johnson Controls' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Controls by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Johnson Controls to competition |
| Fundamentals | Johnson Controls | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0402 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 54.8 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 681.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 92.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 11.51 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 30.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.66 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.66 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 26.79 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.97 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.9 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.03 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.03 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 8.85 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.22 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.69 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.26 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 66.68 | |
| Number Of Employees | 100 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.26 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 43.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 42.24 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.38 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (347 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Marc Vandiepenbeeck of 4958 shares of Johnson Controls at 52.44 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Johnson Controls Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Johnson . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 71018.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6759 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 64.43 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 64.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.7 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.98 |
About Johnson Controls Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Johnson Controls International? Buying financial instruments such as Johnson Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 9.0B | 8.8B | 10.2B | 10.7B | Total Assets | 42.2B | 42.2B | 48.6B | 51.0B |
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In addition to having Johnson Controls in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Johnson Controls Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Johnson Controls Int information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Johnson Controls' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Johnson Stock analysis
When running Johnson Controls' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Controls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Controls is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Controls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Controls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Controls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Controls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Johnson Controls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.232 | Dividend Share 1.47 | Earnings Share 2.69 | Revenue Per Share 39.282 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
The market value of Johnson Controls Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Controls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Controls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Controls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Controls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Controls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Controls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Controls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.