Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HLT Stock  USD 213.31  1.03  0.48%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hilton Worldwide Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Hilton Worldwide buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HLT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hilton Worldwide's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hilton Worldwide's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
241.78
Target Price
164.63
Hype Value
213.31
Market Value
213.31
Naive Value
214.47
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hilton Worldwide Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hilton Worldwide. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hilton Worldwide Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hilton Worldwide Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hilton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Hilton Worldwide Buy or Sell Advice

The Hilton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hilton Worldwide Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hilton Worldwide's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hilton WorldwideBuy Hilton Worldwide
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1687, Jensen Alpha of 0.1182, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0511, Sortino Ratio of 0.13 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2466
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Hilton Worldwide to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Hilton Worldwide Holdings is not overpriced, please check out all Hilton Worldwide fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a price to sales of 12.26 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hilton Worldwide Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hilton Worldwide Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 10.12 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 13.56, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Hilton Worldwide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hilton Worldwide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hilton Worldwide Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hilton Worldwide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 98.0% of Hilton Worldwide shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of March 2024 Hilton Worldwide paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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Hilton Worldwide Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hilton Worldwide's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hilton Worldwide daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hilton Worldwide Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hilton Worldwide returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hilton Worldwide.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-1.21
Potential Upside
1.44
Standard Deviation
0.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hilton Worldwide historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hilton Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hilton Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Worldwide Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Hilton Worldwide's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hilton Worldwide's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
6.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
5.6 M
Putnam Investments Llc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
3.6 M
Eagle Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
3.2 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
M
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
2.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
25.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
18.1 M
Note, although Hilton Worldwide's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hilton Worldwide Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid181M172M42M123M(158M)(150.1M)
Capital Expenditures205M92M79M102M247M247.5M
Net Income886M(720M)407M1.3B1.2B1.2B
Change To Inventory(99M)652M(345M)585M672.8M706.4M
Change To Netincome158M208M125M118M135.7M142.5M
End Period Cash Flow630M3.3B1.5B1.3B875M1.1B
Change In Cash146M2.6B(1.8B)(226M)(411M)(390.5M)
Free Cash Flow1.2B616M30M1.6B1.7B1.0B
Depreciation346M331M188M162M147M139.7M
Other Non Cash Items(120M)342M(147M)(105M)(112M)(117.6M)
Investments3M4M(57M)26M(253M)(240.4M)
Change Receivables(105M)488M(301M)(270M)(310.5M)(295.0M)
Net Borrowings653M2.5B(1.7B)(25M)(28.8M)(30.2M)

Hilton Worldwide Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hilton Worldwide or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hilton Worldwide's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hilton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Hilton Worldwide Volatility Alert

Hilton Worldwide Holdings has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.25, Maximum Drawdown of 4.02 and kurtosis of -0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hilton Worldwide's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hilton Worldwide's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hilton Worldwide Implied Volatility

Hilton Worldwide's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hilton Worldwide's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hilton Worldwide stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hilton Worldwide's options are near their expiration.

Hilton Worldwide Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hilton Worldwide's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hilton Worldwide's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hilton Worldwide and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hilton Worldwide or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hilton Worldwide's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hilton Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hilton Worldwide to competition
FundamentalsHilton WorldwidePeer Average
Return On Asset0.0916-0.14
Profit Margin0.26 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation63.37 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding252.16 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.3 M4.71 M
Price To Earning35.52 X28.72 X
Price To Sales12.26 X11.42 X
Revenue10.23 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.74 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.36 B3.9 B
Net Income1.15 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.21 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.74 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.12 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity13.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.88 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(9.31) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.95 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.33 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.12 X4.89 X
Target Price211.68
Number Of Employees178 K18.84 K
Beta1.26-0.15
Market Capitalization54.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.21 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.11 B)1.48 B
Current Asset2.58 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.44 B7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Elizabeth Smith of tradable shares of Hilton Worldwide subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Hilton Worldwide Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hilton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hilton Worldwide Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hilton Worldwide Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Hilton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Other Current Liabilities2.2B2.4B2.6B1.6B
Total Assets15.4B15.5B15.4B18.3B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hilton Worldwide in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Baby Boomer Prospects Thematic Idea Now

Baby Boomer Prospects
Baby Boomer Prospects Theme
Equities with large market capitalization that account for significant contribution to overall economic growth especially within dividend-paying instruments and stocks from healthcare and financial sectors. The Baby Boomer Prospects theme has 98 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Baby Boomer Prospects Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Hilton Worldwide Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Hilton Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock:
Check out Hilton Worldwide Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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Is Hilton Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Worldwide. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.53)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
4.33
Revenue Per Share
16.824
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
The market value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Worldwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.