Green Brick Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GRBK Stock | USD 51.97 0.16 0.31% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Green Brick Partners is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Green Brick buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GRBK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Green Brick's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Green Brick's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 52.89 | Target Price 52.5 | Hype Value 51.93 | Market Value 51.97 | Naive Value 47.21 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Green Brick Partners given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Green Brick. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Green Brick Partners, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Green |
Execute Green Brick Buy or Sell Advice
The Green recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Green Brick Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Green Brick Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Green Brick's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Green Brick Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Green Brick Partners has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Green Brick Partners Becomes Oversold - Nasdaq |
Green Brick Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Green Brick's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Green Brick's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Green Brick daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Green Brick Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Green Brick returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Green Brick.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -4.02 | Potential Upside | 2.99 | Standard Deviation | 2.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Green Brick historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Green Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Green Brick is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Green Brick Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Green Brick's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Green Brick's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 534.9 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 495.2 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 479.1 K | Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc | 2023-12-31 | 464.8 K | Gw&k Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 416.2 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2023-09-30 | 355.9 K | Lord, Abbett & Co Llc | 2023-12-31 | 287.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 283.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 266.5 K | Greenlight Capital, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.1 M |
Green Brick Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (4.1M) | (4.1M) | 59.9M | (284K) | 106.2M | 111.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (24.6M) | 32.2M | (94.4M) | 88.7M | 205.5M | 215.8M | |
| Depreciation | 3.1M | 3.7M | 2.7M | 2.4M | 3.5M | 3.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.2M) | (9.1M) | (9.2M) | (13.6M) | 17.4M | 18.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6M | 2.9M | 2.0M | 2.0M | 7.8M | 15.3M | |
| Net Income | 64.3M | 117.8M | 204.4M | 314.0M | 284.6M | 298.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 37.7M | 33.6M | 93.6M | 93.3M | 199.5M | 209.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | (84.0M) | (90.3M) | (358.3M) | (217.6M) | (109.2M) | (114.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.9M | 10.7M | 2.8M | 834K | (2.9M) | (2.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (3.0M) | 122K | (504K) | (1.6M) | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 37.0M | (18.9M) | 114.2M | 32.4M | 37.3M | 39.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.6M | (3.4M) | (6.3M) | 11.3M | 13.0M | 7.7M | |
| Investments | (5.3M) | (10.4M) | (8K) | (6.5M) | (13.3M) | (12.7M) |
Green Brick Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Green Brick or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Green Brick's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Green stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0056 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Green Brick Volatility Alert
Green Brick Partners currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Green Brick's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Green Brick's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Green Brick Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Green Brick's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Green Brick's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Green Brick and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Green Brick or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Green Brick's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Green Brick by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Green Brick to competition |
| Fundamentals | Green Brick | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.25 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.67 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 44.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.51 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.08 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.54 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.90 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.00 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.41 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.78 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 523.02 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 358.75 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 284.63 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 66.77 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 354.76 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.95 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 213.34 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.14 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.76 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 54.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 600 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.9 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 997.04 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.55 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Richard Press of 1000 shares of Green Brick at 51.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Green Brick Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Green . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12216.79 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.09) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 52.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 52.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.97) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 87.21 |
About Green Brick Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Green Brick Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Green Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 874.5M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.4B | Total Current Liabilities | 170.9M | 189.6M | 195.2M | 204.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Green Brick in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Government Funds Thematic Idea Now
Government Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by national government to finance government spending or to facilitate Federal Reserve monetary policies. The Government Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Government Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Green Brick Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Green Brick Partners information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Green Brick's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Green Stock analysis
When running Green Brick's price analysis, check to measure Green Brick's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Brick is operating at the current time. Most of Green Brick's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Brick's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Brick's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Brick to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities |
Is Green Brick's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.344 | Earnings Share 6.14 | Revenue Per Share 39.117 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 | Return On Assets 0.1248 |
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.