Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Execute Advice

Graphic Packaging Recommendation

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Strong Buy'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0665, jensen alpha of 0.1851, total risk alpha of (0.06), sortino ratio of 0.1298 and treynor ratio of 0.2921
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Net Income, Price to Earnings To Growth and the relationship between Price to Book and Current Ratio . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Number of Shares Shorted of 3.64 M, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.25Value At Risk-1.8059
Potential Upside3.6614Standard Deviation1.6417
 Return Density 
Benchmark  Embed   Distribution 

Graphic Packaging Greeks

α
Alpha over NYSE
= 0.19 
βBeta against NYSE= 0.84 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.60 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.11 

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.11 and kurtosis of 1.73. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.06 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.06 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin10.45 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation6.12 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding327.65 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders1.36 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.60 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.64 M3.24 M
Price to Earning16.13 times40.69 times
Price to Book3.60 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.93 times17.81 times
Revenue4.16 B9.85 B
Gross Profit789.1 M21.75 B
EBITDA708.8 M1.41 B
Net Income230.1 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents54.9 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.88 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity2.04 times0.72 times
Current Ratio1.61 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share3.33 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations589.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio0.88 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.77 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.01 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12 K10.67 K
Beta1.230.34
Market Capitalization4.2 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0665
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.3021
Mean Deviation1.16
Semi Deviation0.9132
Downside Deviation1.34
Coefficient Of Variation644.7
Standard Deviation1.64
Variance2.7
Information Ratio0.1057
Jensen Alpha0.1851
Total Risk Alpha(0.06)
Sortino Ratio0.1298
Treynor Ratio0.2921
Maximum Drawdown6.15
Value At Risk(1.81)
Potential Upside3.66
Downside Variance1.79
Semi Variance0.8339
Expected Short fall(1.39)
Skewness1.11
Kurtosis1.73
Current Valuation
Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 4 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 67.49 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 6.12 Billion in current valuation claiming about 9% of equities listed under Packaging industry.