Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1829, jensen alpha of 0.3016, total risk alpha of 0.1765, sortino ratio of 0.2756 and treynor ratio of (0.85)
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Shares Outstanding, Net Income, Price to Earnings To Growth, as well as the relationship between Price to Book and Current Ratio . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Price to Earning of 19.27 times, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.29Value At Risk-1.0015
Potential Upside1.7871Standard Deviation0.8287
 Return Density 
Benchmark  Embed    Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares1 M13.1 M
Nationwide Fund AdvisorsCommon Shares911.6 K11.7 M
Highland Capital Management LlcCommon Shares329.3 K4.2 M
Manning Napier Advisors LlcCommon Shares191.8 K2.5 M
Dalton Greiner Hartman Maher CoCommon Shares144.3 K1.9 M
Simplex Trading LlcCommon Shares25.2 K324 K
Cutler Group LpCommon Shares23.1 K297 K
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options1113 K
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options3.00.0

Graphic Packaging Greeks

Alpha over NYSE
= 0.30 
βBeta against NYSE=(0.33) 
Overall volatility
= 0.83 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.26 

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of -0.16. However, we advice investors to further investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company to make sure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Graphic Packaging upside potential.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity17.20 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.06 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.06 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin10.45 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation6.12 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding312.09 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders1.36 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.60 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.64 M3.24 M
Price to Earning19.27 times40.69 times
Price to Book4.03 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.99 times17.81 times
Revenue4.16 B9.85 B
Gross Profit789.1 M21.75 B
EBITDA737.2 M1.41 B
Net Income230.1 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents54.9 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.88 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity2.04 times0.72 times
Current Ratio1.61 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share3.37 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations589.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio1.15 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.71 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.00 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization4.26 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Sale by Alan Nichols of 40000 shares of Graphic Packaging [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1829
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.84)
Mean Deviation0.6293
Semi Deviation0.2521
Downside Deviation0.7848
Coefficient Of Variation285.4
Standard Deviation0.8287
Information Ratio0.261
Jensen Alpha0.3016
Total Risk Alpha0.1765
Sortino Ratio0.2756
Treynor Ratio(0.85)
Maximum Drawdown3.01
Value At Risk(1.00)
Potential Upside1.79
Downside Variance0.6159
Semi Variance0.0636
Expected Short fall(0.77)

Current Valuation

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 4 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 67.49 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 6.12 Billion in current valuation claiming about 9% of equities listed under Packaging industry.