Greentree Hospitality Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GHG Stock | USD 2.97 0.14 4.95% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GreenTree Hospitality Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides GreenTree Hospitality buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GHG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of GreenTree Hospitality's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting GreenTree Hospitality's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.79 | Target Price 4.58 | Hype Value 2.98 | Market Value 2.97 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell GreenTree Hospitality Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards GreenTree Hospitality. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for GreenTree Hospitality Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
GreenTree |
Execute GreenTree Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
The GreenTree recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GreenTree Hospitality Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GreenTree Hospitality Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GreenTree Hospitality's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
GreenTree Hospitality Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GreenTree Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Shareholders in GreenTree Hospitality Group are in the red if they invested five years ago |
GreenTree Hospitality Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GreenTree Hospitality's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GreenTree Hospitality daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GreenTree Hospitality Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GreenTree Hospitality returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GreenTree Hospitality.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -4.66 | Potential Upside | 4.29 | Standard Deviation | 2.51 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GreenTree Hospitality historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GreenTree Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as GreenTree Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GreenTree Hospitality Group backward and forwards among themselves. GreenTree Hospitality's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase GreenTree Hospitality's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 257 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 150 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 96.0 | Principal Securities Inc | 2023-12-31 | 33.0 | Ewa, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.5 M | Oasis Management Co. Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Westwood Global Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 840.8 K | Sei Investments Co | 2023-12-31 | 458.4 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 264.1 K |
GreenTree Hospitality Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 351.5K | (1.3M) | 1.5M | (793.1K) | (912.0K) | (866.4K) | |
| Investments | (1.2B) | 157.6M | 353.3M | 439.0M | 79.1M | 83.0M | |
| Change In Cash | (925.2M) | 291.6M | (313.1M) | 379.8M | 15.2M | 29.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 413.7M | 184.5M | (200.3M) | 212.6M | 382.3M | 235.3M | |
| Depreciation | 40.4M | 65.9M | 98.1M | 109.9M | 99.9M | 66.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (54.3M) | (9.5M) | (3.7M) | 867.0M | 255.4M | 268.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 579.0M | 200.5M | 227.0M | 320.3M | 41.0M | 0.0 | |
| Capital Expenditures | 100.2M | 112.8M | 561.3M | 69.1M | 80.2M | 134.7M | |
| Net Income | 437.8M | 244.7M | 207.8M | (409.2M) | 326.9M | 176.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 342.2M | 633.7M | 320.6M | 700.4M | 905.1M | 700.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 53.7M | (12.9M) | 48.5M | 117.5M | 135.1M | 141.9M |
GreenTree Hospitality Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GreenTree Hospitality or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GreenTree Hospitality's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GreenTree stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
GreenTree Hospitality Volatility Alert
GreenTree Hospitality Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of -0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GreenTree Hospitality's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GreenTree Hospitality's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GreenTree Hospitality Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GreenTree Hospitality's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GreenTree Hospitality's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GreenTree Hospitality and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GreenTree Hospitality or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GreenTree Hospitality's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GreenTree Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GreenTree Hospitality to competition |
| Fundamentals | GreenTree Hospitality | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0384 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 696.62 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 102.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 13.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 62.71 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.94 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.50 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.08 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 554.77 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 428.63 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 326.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 676.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.06 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 462.57 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 13.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.45 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 15.03 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 4.31 | |
| Beta | 0.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 302.96 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.1 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (50.09 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 470.04 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.65 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 539.23 M | 7.9 B |
GreenTree Hospitality Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GreenTree . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GreenTree Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GreenTree Hospitality Group? Buying financial instruments such as GreenTree Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 562.0M | 557.8M | 641.4M | 399.7M | Total Assets | 4.7B | 5.1B | 5.9B | 3.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having GreenTree Hospitality in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Munis Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out GreenTree Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the GreenTree Hospitality information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GreenTree Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for GreenTree Stock analysis
When running GreenTree Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure GreenTree Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GreenTree Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of GreenTree Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GreenTree Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GreenTree Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GreenTree Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GreenTree Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GreenTree Hospitality. If investors know GreenTree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GreenTree Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share 0.45 | Revenue Per Share 15.94 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0384 |
The market value of GreenTree Hospitality is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GreenTree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GreenTree Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GreenTree Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GreenTree Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GreenTree Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GreenTree Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GreenTree Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GreenTree Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.