Gudang Garam (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GGRM Stock | IDR 19,550 125.00 0.64% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gudang Garam Tbk is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Gudang Garam buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GGRM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gudang Garam's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gudang Garam's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 17.6 K | Hype Value 19.6 K | Market Value 19.6 K |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gudang Garam Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gudang Garam. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gudang Garam Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Gudang |
Execute Gudang Garam Buy or Sell Advice
The Gudang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gudang Garam Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gudang Garam Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gudang Garam's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Gudang Garam Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gudang Garam Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gudang Garam Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gudang Garam's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gudang Garam's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gudang Garam daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gudang Garam Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gudang Garam returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gudang Garam.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -1.45 | Potential Upside | 2.17 | Standard Deviation | 1.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gudang Garam historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gudang Garam Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gudang Garam or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gudang Garam's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gudang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Gudang Garam Volatility Alert
Gudang Garam Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.51 and kurtosis of 3.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gudang Garam's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gudang Garam's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gudang Garam Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gudang Garam's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gudang Garam's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gudang Garam and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gudang Garam or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gudang Garam's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gudang Garam by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gudang Garam to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gudang Garam | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.052 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0312 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 34.76 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.92 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 76.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 2.57 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 9.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 124.88 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.11 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 8.13 T | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 5.61 T | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.58 T | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 122.67 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.13 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 29,342 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 5.33 T | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1,535 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 27800.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 32.12 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.5 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 51.28 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 89.96 T | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.0001 % | |
| Net Asset | 89.96 T | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 2250.0 |
Gudang Garam Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gudang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3205.45 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19637.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19608.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (150.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (125.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.97 |
About Gudang Garam Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gudang Garam Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Gudang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Gudang Garam in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Long/short ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Long/short ETFs theme has 22 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long/short ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Gudang Garam Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Gudang Stock analysis
When running Gudang Garam's price analysis, check to measure Gudang Garam's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gudang Garam is operating at the current time. Most of Gudang Garam's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gudang Garam's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gudang Garam's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gudang Garam to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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