Greif Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GEF-B Stock | USD 63.64 0.03 0.05% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Greif Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Greif buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Greif positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Greif's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Greif's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 54.04 | Hype Value 63.64 | Market Value 63.64 | Naive Value 62.01 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Greif Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Greif. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Greif Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Greif |
Execute Greif Buy or Sell Advice
The Greif recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Greif Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Greif Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Greif's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Greif Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Greif Inc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 1st of April 2024 Greif paid $ 0.78 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Greif, Inc. VP Gary R. Martz Buys 1807 Shares - Defense World |
Greif Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Greif's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Greif's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Greif daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Greif Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Greif returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Greif.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.38 | Potential Upside | 2.67 | Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Greif historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Greif Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 27.1M | (205.6M) | 6.1M | 101M | 90.9M | 95.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 28.6M | 18.7M | 22.5M | 33.8M | 38.9M | 40.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 317.9M | 248.7M | 474.5M | 435.9M | 501.3M | 526.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 331.1M | 191.8M | 119M | 240.8M | 276.9M | 290.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 104.3M | 105.8M | 111.3M | 116.5M | 134.0M | 68.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 136.8M | 147.3M | 183M | 213.6M | 245.6M | 136.7M | |
| Net Income | 124.3M | 413.2M | 394M | 379.1M | 436.0M | 457.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 105.9M | 124.6M | 147.1M | 180.9M | 208.0M | 218.4M | |
| Depreciation | 242M | 234.4M | 216.6M | 230.6M | 265.2M | 150.0M | |
| Investments | (25.2M) | 46.8M | (28.2M) | (670.2M) | (603.2M) | (573.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | (34M) | 55.1M | (247.5M) | 25.1M | 22.6M | 23.7M | |
| Net Borrowings | (287.6M) | (309.3M) | (289.1M) | 290.7M | 334.3M | 351.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 120.8M | (67.3M) | 140.1M | 1.4M | 1.6M | 1.5M |
Greif Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Greif or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Greif's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Greif stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Greif Volatility Alert
Greif Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of 0.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Greif's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Greif's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Greif Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Greif's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Greif's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Greif and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Greif or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Greif's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greif by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Greif to competition |
| Fundamentals | Greif | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0609 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.61 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.33 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 77.94 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 11.75 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 22.8 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.77 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.27 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.59 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.22 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 813.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 379.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 89.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.86 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.51 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 257.90 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.67 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 42.28 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 649.5 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.67 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 12 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.96 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.96 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.34 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 429.8 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Five Year Return | 4.93 % |
Note: Disposition of 793 shares by Matthew Eichmann of Greif subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Greif Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greif . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Greif Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Greif Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Greif Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 3.0B | Total Assets | 5.5B | 6.0B | 6.9B | 7.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Greif in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Restaurants Thematic Idea Now
Restaurants
Entities that are involved in restaurant business, as well as coffee shop chains and other eateries. The Restaurants theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Restaurants Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Greif Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis
When running Greif's price analysis, check to measure Greif's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif is operating at the current time. Most of Greif's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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