Global Blue Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GB Stock | USD 5.00 0.28 5.30% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Global Blue Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Global Blue buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Global Blue's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Global Blue's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.08 | Target Price 8.05 | Hype Value 5 | Market Value 5 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Global Blue Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Global Blue. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Global Blue Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Global |
Execute Global Blue Buy or Sell Advice
The Global recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Global Blue Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Global Blue Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Global Blue's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Global Blue Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Global Blue Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 311.49 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (22.45 M) with gross profit of 14.14 M. | |
| Global Blue Group reports about 112.02 M in cash with (1.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19. | |
| Global Blue Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: UnitedHealth Reports Upbeat Earnings, Joins Cullinan Oncology, Ericsson And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Tuesday |
Global Blue Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Global Blue's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Global Blue's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Global Blue daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Global Blue Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Global Blue returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Global Blue.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -5.32 | Potential Upside | 5.62 | Standard Deviation | 3.07 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Global Blue historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Global Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Global Blue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Blue Group backward and forwards among themselves. Global Blue's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Global Blue's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Pictet & Cie (europe) Sa | 2023-12-31 | 128.6 K | Sei Investments Co | 2023-12-31 | 96.8 K | Clearline Capital Lp | 2023-12-31 | 86.2 K | Rbf Llc | 2023-12-31 | 77.9 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 23.5 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 13.6 K | Financiere Des Professionnels Fonds Dinvestissement Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.1 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 5.9 K | Simplex Trading, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.6 K | Silver Lake Group, L.l.c. | 2023-12-31 | 126.1 M | Knighthead Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 9.3 M |
Global Blue Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (5.0M) | 1.2M | (6.9M) | (70.6M) | (63.6M) | (60.4M) | |
| Change In Cash | 122.1M | (43.4M) | (131.1M) | 189.5M | 217.9M | 228.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | (15.3M) | 84.0M | (13.4M) | 48.2M | 55.5M | 58.2M | |
| Depreciation | 113.6M | 116.3M | 87.9M | 51.0M | 45.9M | 73.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 37.7M | 21.2M | 21.1M | 33.9M | 39.0M | 28.2M | |
| Net Income | 9.4M | (454.5M) | (108.5M) | (22.4M) | (20.2M) | (21.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 226.1M | 182.8M | 51.7M | 240.5M | 276.6M | 152.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | (9.8M) | 193.7M | (32.6M) | 11.6M | 13.3M | 25.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 151.5M | (124.4M) | (108.1M) | (35.0M) | (31.5M) | (29.9M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 27.8M | 233.9M | (23.8M) | 32.7M | 29.4M | 45.5M |
Global Blue Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Global Blue or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Global Blue's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Global stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Global Blue Volatility Alert
Global Blue Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Global Blue's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Global Blue's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Global Blue Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Global Blue's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Global Blue's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Global Blue and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Global Blue or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Global Blue's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Blue by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Global Blue to competition |
| Fundamentals | Global Blue | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.72 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0528 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.76 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 199.58 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 17.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.21 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 92.9 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.74 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 15.24 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.60 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 311.49 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.14 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 65.59 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (22.45 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 112.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 788.84 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.08 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.78 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.05 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (883.42 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 78.09 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 574.6 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 213.84 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Bolt Jennifer M of 5687 shares of Global Blue at 51.92 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Global Blue Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Global . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 429.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.93) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) |
About Global Blue Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Global Blue Group? Buying financial instruments such as Global Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 269.9M | 392.6M | 353.3M | 272.6M | Other Current Liabilities | 92.6M | 31.2M | 35.9M | 37.6M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Global Blue in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run SRI Sustainable Growth Thematic Idea Now
SRI Sustainable Growth
Socially responsible investments that include companies making a positive, sustainable or social impact and exclude those making a negative impact. The SRI Sustainable Growth theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize SRI Sustainable Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Global Blue Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Global Blue Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Global Blue's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Blue's price analysis, check to measure Global Blue's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Blue is operating at the current time. Most of Global Blue's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Blue's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Blue's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Blue to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Blue's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Blue. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Blue listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 19.988 | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share 1.756 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.262 | Return On Assets 0.0528 |
The market value of Global Blue Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Blue's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Blue's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Blue's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Blue's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Blue's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Blue is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Blue's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.