First Mid Illinois Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FMBH Stock | USD 31.64 0.51 1.64% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Mid Illinois is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides First Mid buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FMBH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of First Mid's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting First Mid's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 30.46 | Target Price 34.5 | Hype Value 31.63 | Market Value 31.64 | Naive Value 31.9 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Mid Illinois given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First Mid. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Mid Illinois, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
First |
Execute First Mid Buy or Sell Advice
The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Mid Illinois. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Mid Illinois or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Mid's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
First Mid Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| First Mid Illinois generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Mid Illinois has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 1st of March 2024 First Mid paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock market today Wall Street drifts to a mixed finish as yields tick higher - CIProud.com |
First Mid Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of First Mid's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Mid's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Mid daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Mid Illinois price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Mid returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Mid.
| Mean Return | -0.0094 | Value At Risk | -2.91 | Potential Upside | 3.51 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Mid historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
First Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as First Mid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Mid Illinois backward and forwards among themselves. First Mid's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase First Mid's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 238.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 237.2 K | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2023-12-31 | 235 K | Gendell Jeffrey L | 2023-12-31 | 215.1 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 177.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 176.7 K | Siena Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 128.4 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 122.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 110.9 K | Ballentine Finn & Company Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M |
First Mid Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (56.3M) | 332.2M | (248.7M) | (16.2M) | (9.4M) | (8.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 58.7M | 61.1M | 65.9M | 60.8M | 72.2M | 75.8M | |
| Depreciation | 10.8M | 11.7M | 14.4M | 15.1M | 14.1M | 14.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.7M | 12.2M | 16.4M | 3.2M | (1.7M) | (1.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 11.9M | 12.8M | 14.7M | 17.8M | 19.6M | 20.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.1M | 2.5M | 3.7M | 5.0M | 3.6M | 2.2M | |
| Net Income | 47.9M | 45.3M | 51.5M | 73.0M | 68.9M | 72.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 85.1M | 417.3M | 168.6M | 152.4M | 143.1M | 94.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.4M) | 3.7M | (8.3M) | (18.3M) | (21.0M) | (22.0M) | |
| Investments | (30.4M) | (562.0M) | (485.4M) | (242.0M) | 474.4M | 498.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 1.3M | (3.7M) | 2.4M | (6.7M) | (6.0M) | (5.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (3.3M) | 107.1M | (55.7M) | 399.4M | 459.3M | 482.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.0M | 9.2M | 14.8M | 3.4M | 4.0M | 5.7M |
First Mid Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Mid or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Mid's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0089 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
First Mid Volatility Alert
First Mid Illinois exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.58 and kurtosis of 1.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Mid's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Mid's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.First Mid Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing First Mid's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Mid's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Mid and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Mid or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Mid's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Mid by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare First Mid to competition |
| Fundamentals | First Mid | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0967 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0096 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 23.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.45 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 40.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 192.5 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.89 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 300.17 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 254.15 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 88.41 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 68.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 142.42 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 608.32 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 9.31 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 33.29 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 75.86 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.16 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.88 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 38.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.16 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.86 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 758.73 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.59 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 338.66 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.18 % |
Note: Acquisition by Michael Taylor of 125 shares of First Mid at 31.5726 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
First Mid Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About First Mid Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell First Mid Illinois? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 200.0M | 579.0M | 608.3M | 638.7M | Total Assets | 6.0B | 6.7B | 7.6B | 8.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having First Mid in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Latest Losers Thematic Idea Now
Latest Losers
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 188 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Losers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out First Mid Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the First Mid Illinois information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Mid's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Mid's price analysis, check to measure First Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Mid is operating at the current time. Most of First Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Mid's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Mid. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Mid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 3.16 | Revenue Per Share 12.587 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.247 |
The market value of First Mid Illinois is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Mid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Mid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Mid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Mid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.