Farmers Merchants Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FMAO Stock | USD 21.00 0.79 3.91% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Farmers Merchants Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Farmers Merchants buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FMAO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Farmers Merchants' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Farmers Merchants' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 21.62 | Target Price 22 | Hype Value 21 | Market Value 21 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Farmers Merchants Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Farmers Merchants. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Farmers Merchants Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Farmers |
Execute Farmers Merchants Buy or Sell Advice
The Farmers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmers Merchants Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmers Merchants Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmers Merchants' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Farmers Merchants Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Farmers Merchants generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Farmers Merchants has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Farmers Merchants has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for April 16th |
Farmers Merchants Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Farmers Merchants' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmers Merchants' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmers Merchants daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmers Merchants Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmers Merchants returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Farmers Merchants.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -4.15 | Potential Upside | 3.96 | Standard Deviation | 2.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmers Merchants historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Farmers Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Farmers Merchants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers Merchants Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Farmers Merchants' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Farmers Merchants' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 38.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 35.4 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 34.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 28.4 K | Goelzer Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 27.6 K | Venture Visionary Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 24.8 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 22.9 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-12-31 | 18.7 K | Carnegie Capital Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 18.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 914.6 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 571.5 K |
Farmers Merchants Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmers Merchants or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmers Merchants' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Farmers Merchants Volatility Alert
Farmers Merchants Bancorp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Farmers Merchants' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Farmers Merchants' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Farmers Merchants Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Farmers Merchants' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmers Merchants' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmers Merchants and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmers Merchants or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmers Merchants' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmers Merchants by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Farmers Merchants to competition |
| Fundamentals | Farmers Merchants | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0741 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0072 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 456.83 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 13.66 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.92 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.35 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 174.07 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 14.82 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.87 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.87 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 155.1 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 97.72 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 45.74 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 22.54 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 75.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.62 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 334.59 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.24 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 22.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.24 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.67 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 22.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 456 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 286.96 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.28 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 221.08 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.18 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.28 B |
Note: Acquisition by Steven Planson of 150 shares of Farmers Merchants at 27.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Farmers Merchants Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Farmers Merchants Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Farmers Merchants Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Farmers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Farmers Merchants in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Global Macro ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Global Macro ETFs theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Global Macro ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Farmers Merchants Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Farmers Merchants Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Farmers Merchants' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Farmers Stock analysis
When running Farmers Merchants' price analysis, check to measure Farmers Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmers Merchants' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmers Merchants. If investors know Farmers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmers Merchants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 0.85 | Earnings Share 1.67 | Revenue Per Share 7.092 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
The market value of Farmers Merchants Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmers Merchants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmers Merchants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmers Merchants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmers Merchants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmers Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmers Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmers Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.