National Beverage Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FIZZ Stock | USD 45.35 0.62 1.39% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Beverage Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides National Beverage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIZZ positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of National Beverage's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting National Beverage's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 47.49 | Target Price 48 | Hype Value 45.29 | Market Value 45.35 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell National Beverage Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards National Beverage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for National Beverage Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
National |
Execute National Beverage Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Beverage Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Beverage Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Beverage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
National Beverage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National Beverage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Beverage is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| National Beverage has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from smh.com.au: Taylor Swifts new album is here, and its proof she needs to take a break |
National Beverage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Beverage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Beverage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Beverage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Beverage Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Beverage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Beverage.
| Mean Return | -0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.53 | Potential Upside | 2.35 | Standard Deviation | 1.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Beverage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National Beverage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Beverage Corp backward and forwards among themselves. National Beverage's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National Beverage's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 246.5 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 244.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 233.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 221.1 K | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 215.6 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 207.3 K | Rk Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 201.5 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 182.4 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 180.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 3.6 M |
National Beverage Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 7.2M | (8.0M) | (31.8M) | 9.7M | (858K) | (900.9K) | |
| Change In Cash | 148.3M | (110.9M) | (145.5M) | 110.0M | 32.6M | 34.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 153.8M | 168.5M | 104.1M | 139.7M | 29.2M | 47.4M | |
| Depreciation | 30.6M | 31.2M | 31.8M | 33.3M | 11.8M | 14.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 206K | 114K | (7K) | 141K | 405K | 425.3K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 23.9M | 25.3M | 29.0M | 22.0M | 6.7M | 13.0M | |
| Net Income | 130.0M | 174.1M | 158.5M | 142.2M | 24.7M | 23.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 304.5M | 193.6M | 48.1M | 158.1M | 84.1M | 76.8M | |
| Change Receivables | (13.0M) | (481K) | (80K) | (11.3M) | (10.2M) | (9.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 342K | 444K | 6.0M | (3K) | (3.5K) | (3.3K) | |
| Investments | (23.9M) | (25.3M) | (29.0M) | (22.0M) | (19.8M) | (20.7M) |
National Beverage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Beverage or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Beverage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
National Beverage Volatility Alert
National Beverage Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.44 and kurtosis of 0.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Beverage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Beverage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Beverage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Beverage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Beverage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Beverage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Beverage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Beverage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Beverage to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Beverage | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.4 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.22 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.96 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 93.54 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 74.83 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.86 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.49 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.67 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 396.79 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 219.97 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 142.16 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 56.06 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 41.53 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.51 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 161.66 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 13.76 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.81 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.02 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 47.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.59 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.83 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.24 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 574.34 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 358.35 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 222.08 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Mccoy Dean A of 4000 shares of National Beverage at 18.38 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
National Beverage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3459.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5536 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 45.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 45.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.63 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.62 |
About National Beverage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Beverage Corp? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 61.2M | 41.5M | 1.5M | 1.4M | Total Assets | 467.8M | 574.3M | 265.7M | 295.1M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having National Beverage in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run High Yield ETFs Thematic Idea Now
High Yield ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The High Yield ETFs theme has 95 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize High Yield ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out National Beverage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the National Beverage Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Beverage's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Beverage's price analysis, check to measure National Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of National Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals |
Is National Beverage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Beverage. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Beverage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.141 | Earnings Share 1.81 | Revenue Per Share 12.648 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 | Return On Assets 0.2151 |
The market value of National Beverage Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Beverage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Beverage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Beverage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Beverage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.