Comfort Systems Usa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FIX Stock | USD 290.73 1.51 0.52% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Comfort Systems USA is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Comfort Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FIX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Comfort Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Comfort Systems' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 256.47 | Target Price 185.5 | Hype Value 290.44 | Market Value 290.73 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Comfort Systems USA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Comfort Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Comfort Systems USA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Comfort |
Execute Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The Comfort recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Comfort Systems USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Comfort Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Comfort Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Comfort Systems USA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of March 2024 Comfort Systems paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Comfort Systems USA Announces First Quarter 2024 Conference Call and Webcast |
Comfort Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Comfort Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Comfort Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Comfort Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Comfort Systems USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Comfort Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Comfort Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.58 | Value At Risk | -2.51 | Potential Upside | 4.03 | Standard Deviation | 2.55 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Comfort Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Comfort Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Comfort Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comfort Systems USA backward and forwards among themselves. Comfort Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Comfort Systems' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 609.9 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 538.1 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 533.7 K | Hood River Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 482.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 480.3 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 475.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 467.9 K | Westfield Capital Management Company, Lp | 2023-12-31 | 426.6 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2023-12-31 | 422.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M |
Comfort Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.4M | (1.5M) | (5.7M) | (13.5M) | (29.7M) | (28.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 5.2M | 4.1M | 3.9M | (1.6M) | 147.9M | 155.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 110.3M | 262.4M | 157.8M | 253.2M | 544.7M | 572.0M | |
| Depreciation | 51.6M | 60.6M | 68.9M | 81.3M | 107.5M | 112.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 21.5M | 11.9M | 7.3M | 28.2M | 26.9M | 14.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.5M | 15.5M | 17.4M | 20.1M | (30.4M) | (28.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 31.8M | 24.1M | 22.3M | 48.4M | 94.8M | 99.6M | |
| Net Income | 114.3M | 150.1M | 143.3M | 245.9M | 323.4M | 339.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 50.8M | 54.9M | 58.8M | 57.2M | 205.2M | 215.4M | |
| Investments | (224.5M) | (207.8M) | (246.7M) | (2.5M) | (133.5M) | (140.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (49.5M) | 38.5M | (58.0M) | (223.2M) | (200.9M) | (190.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 122.8M | (19.5M) | 119.3M | (139.6M) | (160.5M) | (152.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 5.9M | (6.3M) | 6.7M | (78.1M) | (70.3M) | (66.7M) |
Comfort Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Comfort Systems or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Comfort Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Comfort stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Comfort Systems Volatility Alert
Comfort Systems USA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.38 and kurtosis of 6.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Comfort Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Comfort Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Comfort Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Comfort Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Comfort Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Comfort Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Comfort Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Comfort Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comfort Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Comfort Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Comfort Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0881 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.45 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.56 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.08 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.01 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.21 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 741.61 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 523.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 323.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 57.21 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.00 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 256.77 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 35.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 639.57 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.38 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.06 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 319.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 10.43 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.31 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.15 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 189.9 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by William George of 2266 shares of Comfort Systems subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Comfort Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Comfort . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0272 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.19) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 291.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 291.22 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 8.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.49) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.51) |
About Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Comfort Systems USA? Buying financial instruments such as Comfort Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 514.8M | 256.2M | 256.8M | 269.6M | Total Assets | 2.2B | 2.6B | 3.3B | 3.5B |
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In addition to having Comfort Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Comfort Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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When running Comfort Systems' price analysis, check to measure Comfort Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comfort Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Comfort Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comfort Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comfort Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comfort Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Comfort Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comfort Systems. If investors know Comfort will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comfort Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.657 | Dividend Share 0.85 | Earnings Share 9 | Revenue Per Share 145.432 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.215 |
The market value of Comfort Systems USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comfort that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comfort Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comfort Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comfort Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comfort Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comfort Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comfort Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comfort Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.