Dorman Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DORM Stock  USD 89.81  0.41  0.45%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Dorman Products is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Dorman Products buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DORM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Dorman Products' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Dorman Products' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
97.74
Target Price
106.25
Hype Value
89.86
Market Value
89.81
Naive Value
87.74
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dorman Products given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Dorman Products. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dorman Products, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Dorman Products Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Dorman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dorman Products guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dorman and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dorman Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Dorman Products Buy or Sell Advice

The Dorman recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dorman Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dorman Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dorman Products' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Dorman ProductsBuy Dorman Products
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Dorman Products has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0355, Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of (0.21), Sortino Ratio of 0.0152 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0636
Macroaxis provides advice on Dorman Products to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Dorman Products. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Dorman Products is not overpriced, please confirm all Dorman Products fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Dorman Products has a price to earning of 25.10 X, we urge you to verify Dorman Products market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Dorman Products Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: General Motors Tops Q1 Earnings Estimates, Lifts 24 View

Dorman Products Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dorman Products' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dorman Products' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dorman Products daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dorman Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dorman Products returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dorman Products.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-3.13
Potential Upside
2.60
Standard Deviation
2.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dorman Products historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dorman Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Dorman Products is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dorman Products backward and forwards among themselves. Dorman Products' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Dorman Products' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-09-30
478.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-09-30
465.3 K
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2023-09-30
399.1 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-09-30
378.7 K
Cooper Creek Partners Management Llc2023-12-31
363.2 K
Southernsun Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
348.2 K
Abrdn Plc2023-09-30
341.1 K
Wcm Investment Management2023-12-31
314.7 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-09-30
312.8 K
Blackrock Inc2023-09-30
4.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
M
Note, although Dorman Products' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Dorman Products Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(11.0M)(12.3M)(153.8M)(133.8M)118.6M124.5M
Change In Cash24.9M87.2M(96.8M)(12.7M)(9.2M)(8.8M)
Free Cash Flow65.7M136.5M80.5M3.8M164.8M173.0M
Depreciation25.9M32.3M35.2M44.7M54.7M57.5M
Other Non Cash Items39K(2.2M)(2.2M)(34K)(15.9M)(15.1M)
Capital Expenditures29.6M15.5M19.8M37.9M44.0M46.2M
Net Income83.8M106.9M131.5M121.5M129.3M135.7M
End Period Cash Flow68.4M155.6M58.8M46.0M36.8M38.0M
Change To Netincome4.2M(4.2M)(3.6M)3.6M4.1M4.3M
Investments(29.6M)(30.3M)(365.3M)(526.8M)(536.5M)(509.7M)

Dorman Products Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dorman Products or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dorman Products' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dorman stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Dorman Products Volatility Alert

Dorman Products has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.57 and kurtosis of 21.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dorman Products' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dorman Products' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dorman Products Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dorman Products' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dorman Products' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dorman Products and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dorman Products or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dorman Products' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dorman Products by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dorman Products to competition
FundamentalsDorman ProductsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0701-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted385.53 K4.71 M
Price To Earning25.10 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.45 X11.42 X
Revenue1.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit564.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA264.39 M3.9 B
Net Income129.26 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents35.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt683.8 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.31 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.75 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations208.76 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.05 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.10 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.37 X4.89 X
Target Price97.67
Number Of Employees3.87 K18.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Market Capitalization2.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.07 B9.33 B
Working Capital686.56 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 361 shares by Donna Long of Dorman Products at 91.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Dorman Products Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dorman . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dorman Products Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dorman Products? Buying financial instruments such as Dorman Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total291.8M832.5M683.8M718.0M
Total Assets1.7B2.3B2.3B2.4B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Dorman Products in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Raw Materials
Raw Materials Theme
Companies that are involved with the development and processing of raw materials such as silver or forestry. The Raw Materials theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Raw Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Dorman Products is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dorman Products' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dorman Products' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dorman Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Dorman Products Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Dorman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dorman Products guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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Is Dorman Products' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dorman Products. If investors know Dorman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dorman Products listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.855
Earnings Share
4.1
Revenue Per Share
61.351
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0701
The market value of Dorman Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dorman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dorman Products' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dorman Products' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dorman Products' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dorman Products' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dorman Products' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dorman Products is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dorman Products' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.