Hf Sinclair Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DINO Stock  USD 59.59  0.10  0.17%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding HF Sinclair Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides HF Sinclair buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DINO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of HF Sinclair's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting HF Sinclair's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
60.04
Target Price
61.91
Hype Value
59.57
Market Value
59.59
Naive Value
62.08
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell HF Sinclair Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards HF Sinclair. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for HF Sinclair Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out HF Sinclair Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as DINO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards HF Sinclair Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute HF Sinclair Buy or Sell Advice

The DINO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on HF Sinclair Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in HF Sinclair Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute HF Sinclair's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell HF SinclairBuy HF Sinclair
Strong Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon HF Sinclair Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0383, Jensen Alpha of (0.04), Total Risk Alpha of (0.31), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0883
Our trade advice module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on HF Sinclair. Our trade advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure HF Sinclair Corp is not overpriced, please check out all HF Sinclair Corp fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that HF Sinclair Corp has a price to earning of 7.21 X, we strongly advise you to confirm HF Sinclair market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

HF Sinclair Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 5th of March 2024 HF Sinclair paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HF Sinclair Corporation First Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Webcast

HF Sinclair Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of HF Sinclair's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of HF Sinclair's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of HF Sinclair daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use HF Sinclair Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of HF Sinclair returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for HF Sinclair.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-2.48
Potential Upside
2.90
Standard Deviation
1.79
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of HF Sinclair historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

DINO Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as HF Sinclair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HF Sinclair Corp backward and forwards among themselves. HF Sinclair's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase HF Sinclair's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.9 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2023-12-31
1.7 M
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
1.6 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.4 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.4 M
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
18.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
17.3 M
Note, although HF Sinclair's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

HF Sinclair Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory91.6M230.1M(344.6M)(224.4M)30.2M31.8M
Change In Cash(269.6M)483.2M(1.1B)1.4B(311.3M)(295.8M)
Free Cash Flow1.3B127.8M(406.7M)3.3B1.9B2.0B
Depreciation509.9M520.9M503.5M656.8M770.6M809.1M
Other Non Cash Items(267.4M)553.5M(663.1M)(33.0M)(298.9M)(283.9M)
Dividends Paid225.2M229.5M57.7M255.9M(340.7M)(323.7M)
Capital Expenditures293.8M330.2M813.4M524.0M385.4M236.5M
Net Income872.4M(514.9M)663.3M3.0B1.7B1.8B
End Period Cash Flow885.2M1.4B234.4M1.7B1.4B1.4B
Change To Netincome152.7M433.0M(280.8M)169.0M194.3M150.9M
Change Receivables(35.8M)150.4M254.7M(614.4M)(553.0M)(525.3M)
Net Borrowings42.5M158.9M(88M)174.9M157.4M165.2M
Investments17.9M(2.4M)4.2M(774.5M)(356.4M)(338.6M)

HF Sinclair Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HF Sinclair or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HF Sinclair's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a DINO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

HF Sinclair Volatility Alert

HF Sinclair Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 3.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure HF Sinclair's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact HF Sinclair's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

HF Sinclair Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing HF Sinclair's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze HF Sinclair's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between HF Sinclair and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as HF Sinclair or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of HF Sinclair's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HF Sinclair by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare HF Sinclair to competition
FundamentalsHF SinclairPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0782-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation13.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding198.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.64 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.55 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.37 X11.42 X
Revenue31.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.14 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.08 B3.9 B
Net Income1.71 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.7 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.1 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.38 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.89 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share50.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.3 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.69 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.29 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth42.24 X4.89 X
Target Price63.45
Number Of Employees5.22 K18.84 K
Beta1.27-0.15
Market Capitalization11.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset17.72 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.38 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.37 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Franklin Myers of 4180 shares of HF Sinclair at 58.94 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

HF Sinclair Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as DINO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About HF Sinclair Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell HF Sinclair Corp? Buying financial instruments such as DINO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total3.5B3.6B3.1B3.3B
Total Assets12.9B18.1B17.7B18.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having HF Sinclair in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumer Funds Thematic Idea Now

Consumer Funds
Consumer Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in consumer products such as packaged goods, clothing, food, beverages and retail services. The Consumer Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether HF Sinclair Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HF Sinclair's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hf Sinclair Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hf Sinclair Corp Stock:
Check out HF Sinclair Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running HF Sinclair's price analysis, check to measure HF Sinclair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HF Sinclair is operating at the current time. Most of HF Sinclair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HF Sinclair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HF Sinclair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HF Sinclair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is HF Sinclair's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. If investors know DINO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HF Sinclair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
8.29
Revenue Per Share
168.203
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of HF Sinclair Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DINO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HF Sinclair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HF Sinclair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HF Sinclair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HF Sinclair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HF Sinclair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HF Sinclair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HF Sinclair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.