Church Dwight Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHD Stock  USD 104.21  1.37  1.33%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Church Dwight is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Church Dwight buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CHD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Church Dwight's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Church Dwight's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
102.25
Target Price
97.53
Hype Value
104.28
Market Value
104.21
Naive Value
100.73
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Church Dwight given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Church Dwight. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Church Dwight, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Church and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Church Dwight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice

The Church recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Church Dwight. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Church Dwight or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Church Dwight's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Church DwightBuy Church Dwight
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Church Dwight has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1277, Jensen Alpha of 0.1519, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.0608 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6077
Macroaxis provides advice on Church Dwight to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Church Dwight. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Church Dwight is not overpriced, please confirm all Church Dwight fundamentals, including its gross profit, cash per share, and the relationship between the price to sales and net income . Given that Church Dwight has a price to book of 6.51 X, we suggest you to validate Church Dwight market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Church Dwight Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of March 2024 Church Dwight paid $ 0.2838 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why RHs Earnings Are Likely to Decline YY in Q4

Church Dwight Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Church Dwight's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Church Dwight's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Church Dwight daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Church Dwight price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Church Dwight returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Church Dwight.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-1.54
Potential Upside
1.64
Standard Deviation
0.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Church Dwight historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Church Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Church Dwight is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Church Dwight backward and forwards among themselves. Church Dwight's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Church Dwight's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-09-30
2.9 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-09-30
2.8 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.7 M
Fundsmith Investment Services Ltd.2023-09-30
2.7 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2023-09-30
2.7 M
Amundi2023-09-30
2.4 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-09-30
2.2 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-09-30
1.9 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-09-30
1.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
29.9 M
Blackrock Inc2023-09-30
22.2 M
Note, although Church Dwight's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Church Dwight Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(33.8M)(61.9M)(29.1M)(92.8M)38.5M40.4M
Change In Cash(161M)27.4M57.5M29.7M74.2M77.9M
Free Cash Flow790.8M891.4M875M706.4M807.1M847.5M
Depreciation176.4M189.7M219.1M219M197.1M207.0M
Other Non Cash Items12.6M(91.8M)(79.5M)406.6M37.4M39.3M
Dividends Paid224.1M237.3M247.5M255M(266.5M)(253.2M)
Capital Expenditures73.7M98.9M118.8M178.8M223.5M234.7M
Net Income568.6M615.9M785.9M827.5M755.6M793.4M
End Period Cash Flow155.7M183.1M240.6M270.3M344.5M174.4M
Change To Netincome45.6M55.8M(35.5M)(77.5M)(69.8M)(66.3M)
Investments(553.5M)(608.1M)(682M)(728.6M)(756.3M)(718.5M)
Change Receivables(9.2M)(13.4M)2.4M(5.3M)(6.1M)(6.4M)
Net Borrowings(49M)99M400.7M119.9M137.9M158.3M

Church Dwight Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Church Dwight or Household Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Church Dwight's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Church stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Church Dwight Volatility Alert

Church Dwight has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.76 and kurtosis of 0.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Church Dwight's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Church Dwight's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Church Dwight Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Church Dwight's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Church Dwight's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Church Dwight and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Church Dwight or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Church Dwight's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Church Dwight by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Church Dwight to competition
FundamentalsChurch DwightPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0781-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation27.14 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding243.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.66 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.14 M4.71 M
Price To Earning25.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.51 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.27 X11.42 X
Revenue5.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.25 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.06 B3.9 B
Net Income755.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents270.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.63 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.61 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.84 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.86 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.03 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.05 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.84 X4.89 X
Target Price103.35
Number Of Employees5.55 K18.84 K
Beta0.53-0.15
Market Capitalization25.08 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.57 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.01 B9.33 B
Working Capital107.7 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 6120 shares by Brian Buchert of Church Dwight at 102.8357 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Church Dwight Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Church . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Church Dwight? Buying financial instruments such as Church Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.6B2.7B2.6B2.7B
Total Assets8.0B8.3B8.6B9.0B

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In addition to having Church Dwight in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Crypto And Gold Theme
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When determining whether Church Dwight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Church Dwight's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Church Dwight's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Church Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.
Note that the Church Dwight information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Church Dwight's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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Is Church Dwight's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Church Dwight. If investors know Church will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Church Dwight listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.09
Earnings Share
3.05
Revenue Per Share
23.96
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.064
The market value of Church Dwight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Church that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Church Dwight's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Church Dwight's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Church Dwight's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Church Dwight's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Church Dwight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Church Dwight is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Church Dwight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.