Century Aluminum Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CENX Stock | USD 17.39 0.16 0.91% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Century Aluminum is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Century Aluminum buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CENX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Century Aluminum's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Century Aluminum's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 13.17 | Target Price 7.67 | Hype Value 17.94 | Market Value 17.39 | Naive Value 16.85 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Century Aluminum given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Century Aluminum. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Century Aluminum, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Century |
Execute Century Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
The Century recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Century Aluminum. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Century Aluminum or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Century Aluminum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Century Aluminum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Century Aluminum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (43.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.7 M. | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Century Aluminum Reaches New 52-Week High at 18.64 - Defense World |
Century Aluminum Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Century Aluminum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Century Aluminum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Century Aluminum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Century Aluminum price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Century Aluminum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Century Aluminum.
| Mean Return | 0.87 | Value At Risk | -4.13 | Potential Upside | 5.64 | Standard Deviation | 3.43 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Century Aluminum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Century Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Century Aluminum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Century Aluminum backward and forwards among themselves. Century Aluminum's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Century Aluminum's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Slate Path Capital Lp | 2023-12-31 | 878 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 867.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 850.2 K | Steamboat Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 747.9 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 746 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 713.3 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 708.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 670.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 10.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M |
Century Aluminum Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 4.4M | (15.5M) | (134.5M) | (12.8M) | 25.8M | 27.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (41.9M) | 29.5M | (147.7M) | (60.4M) | 10.6M | 11.1M | |
| Depreciation | 83.2M | 83M | 82.6M | 73.4M | 74.7M | 67.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.8M | 58.8M | (3.7M) | (38M) | 198.8M | 208.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 83M | 59.6M | 13.4M | 86.3M | 95M | 99.8M | |
| Net Income | (80.8M) | (123.3M) | (167.1M) | (14.1M) | (43.1M) | (45.3M) | |
| Investments | 20.8M | (11.8M) | 1.6M | (85.5M) | (33M) | (31.4M) | |
| Change Receivables | (51.8M) | 5.3M | 39.9M | (15.5M) | (14.0M) | (13.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 388.1M | 250M | 129.4M | 75.9M | 87.3M | 104.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 5.8M | 59.8M | 70.6M | 10M | 11.5M | 10.9M |
Century Aluminum Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Century Aluminum or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Century Aluminum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Century stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Century Aluminum Volatility Alert
Century Aluminum currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.23 and Jensen Alpha of 0.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Century Aluminum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Century Aluminum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Century Aluminum Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Century Aluminum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Century Aluminum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Century Aluminum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Century Aluminum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Century Aluminum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Century Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Century Aluminum to competition |
| Fundamentals | Century Aluminum | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.012 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 92.7 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 44.09 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.04 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.08 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.29 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.19 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 46.7 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 106.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (43.1 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 64.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.71 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 503.4 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.99 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.87 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 105.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.47) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.36) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.94 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.74 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.63 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.85 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.1 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Kenneth Calloway of Century Aluminum subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Century Aluminum Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Century . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 38582.2 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 92.21 |
About Century Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Century Aluminum? Buying financial instruments such as Century Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 474.1M | 548.6M | 503.4M | 380.1M | Total Assets | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 1.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Century Aluminum in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Healthcare Thematic Idea Now
Healthcare
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Healthcare theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Century Aluminum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Century Stock please use our How to Invest in Century Aluminum guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Century Stock analysis
When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments |
Is Century Aluminum's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Century Aluminum. If investors know Century will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Century Aluminum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share (0.47) | Revenue Per Share 23.652 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.012 |
The market value of Century Aluminum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Century that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Century Aluminum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Century Aluminum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Century Aluminum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Century Aluminum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Century Aluminum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Century Aluminum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Century Aluminum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.