Burlington Stores Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BURL Stock  USD 232.19  1.57  0.68%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Burlington Stores is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Burlington Stores buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BURL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Burlington Stores' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Burlington Stores' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
192.05
Target Price
203
Hype Value
232.28
Market Value
232.19
Naive Value
229.12
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Burlington Stores given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Burlington Stores. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Burlington Stores, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Burlington Stores Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Burlington and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Burlington Stores. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

The Burlington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Burlington Stores. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Burlington Stores or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Burlington Stores' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Burlington StoresBuy Burlington Stores
Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Burlington Stores has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1003, Jensen Alpha of 0.0974, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.1108 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1862
Macroaxis provides advice on Burlington Stores to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Burlington Stores. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Burlington Stores is not overpriced, please confirm all Burlington Stores fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Burlington Stores has a price to earning of 79.87 X, we suggest you to validate Burlington Stores market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Burlington Stores Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Burlington Stores Gains 70 percent in 6 Months Heres Why

Burlington Stores Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Burlington Stores' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Burlington Stores' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Burlington Stores daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Burlington Stores price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Burlington Stores returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Burlington Stores.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-2.26
Potential Upside
3.26
Standard Deviation
1.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Burlington Stores historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Burlington Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Burlington Stores is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burlington Stores backward and forwards among themselves. Burlington Stores' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Burlington Stores' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
1.3 M
Hhg Plc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2023-12-31
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
989.7 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
886.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
755.6 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
748 K
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
631.1 K
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32023-12-31
7.3 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
6.4 M
Note, although Burlington Stores' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Burlington Stores Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory176.4M36.5M(280.2M)(161.0M)94.1M98.8M
Change In Cash275.5M977.2M(289.2M)(218.5M)46.2M68.6M
Free Cash Flow561.4M(54.1M)480.1M145.3M351.5M263.9M
Depreciation210.7M220.4M249.2M270.4M307.1M222.7M
Other Non Cash Items71.4M89.5M212.1M63.5M55.7M67.2M
Capital Expenditures330.3M273.3M353.0M451.1M517.3M293.1M
Net Income465.1M(216.5M)408.8M230.1M339.6M198.4M
End Period Cash Flow409.7M1.4B1.1B879.2M925.4M971.6M
Change To Netincome53.5M88.8M322.6M101.9M117.2M65.1M
Investments(324.6M)(274.1M)(344.4M)(423.1M)(503.7M)(528.9M)

Burlington Stores Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Burlington Stores or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Burlington Stores' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Burlington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Burlington Stores Volatility Alert

Burlington Stores has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.97 and kurtosis of 2.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Burlington Stores' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Burlington Stores' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Burlington Stores Implied Volatility

Burlington Stores' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burlington Stores stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burlington Stores' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burlington Stores stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burlington Stores' options are near their expiration.

Burlington Stores Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Burlington Stores' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Burlington Stores' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Burlington Stores and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Burlington Stores or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Burlington Stores' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burlington Stores by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Burlington Stores to competition
FundamentalsBurlington StoresPeer Average
Return On Equity0.38-0.31
Return On Asset0.047-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.62 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding63.92 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.39 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.61 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.68 M4.71 M
Price To Earning79.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book14.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.52 X11.42 X
Revenue9.72 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.52 B27.38 B
EBITDA861.04 M3.9 B
Net Income339.65 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents428.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.8 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations868.74 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.76 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.24 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.99 X4.89 X
Target Price243.47
Number Of Employees17.05 K18.84 K
Beta1.47-0.15
Market Capitalization14.74 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings984.06 M9.33 B
Working Capital298.24 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 3445 shares by Jennifer Vecchio of Burlington Stores at 225.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Burlington Stores Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Burlington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Burlington Stores? Buying financial instruments such as Burlington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total4.5B4.7B4.8B2.7B
Total Assets7.1B7.3B7.7B4.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Burlington Stores in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Cars Thematic Idea Now

Cars
Cars Theme
Domestic and international companies involved in manufacturing and serving automobiles and trucks. The Cars theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Burlington Stores is a strong investment it is important to analyze Burlington Stores' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Burlington Stores' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Burlington Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Burlington Stores Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Burlington Stock analysis

When running Burlington Stores' price analysis, check to measure Burlington Stores' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burlington Stores is operating at the current time. Most of Burlington Stores' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burlington Stores' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burlington Stores' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burlington Stores to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Burlington Stores' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. If investors know Burlington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burlington Stores listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.245
Earnings Share
5.24
Revenue Per Share
150.268
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.14
Return On Assets
0.047
The market value of Burlington Stores is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burlington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burlington Stores' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burlington Stores' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burlington Stores' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burlington Stores' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burlington Stores' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burlington Stores is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burlington Stores' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.