Bridgford Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BRID Stock  USD 11.26  0.03  0.27%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Bridgford Foods is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Bridgford Foods buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BRID positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Bridgford Foods' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Bridgford Foods' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.36
Target Price
7.93
Hype Value
11.26
Market Value
11.26
Naive Value
11.66
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Bridgford Foods given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Bridgford Foods. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Bridgford Foods, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Bridgford Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Bridgford Stock refer to our How to Trade Bridgford Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bridgford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Bridgford Foods. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Bridgford Foods Buy or Sell Advice

The Bridgford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bridgford Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bridgford Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bridgford Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bridgford FoodsBuy Bridgford Foods
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Bridgford Foods has a Mean Deviation of 1.05, Semi Deviation of 1.33, Standard Deviation of 1.56, Variance of 2.44, Downside Variance of 2.4 and Semi Variance of 1.77
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Bridgford Foods and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Bridgford Foods is not overpriced, please confirm all Bridgford Foods fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, and the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that Bridgford Foods has a price to earning of 14.80 X, we suggest you to validate Bridgford Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Bridgford Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bridgford Foods Stock Price Passes Above 50 Day Moving Average of 10.81 - MarketBeat

Bridgford Foods Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bridgford Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bridgford Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bridgford Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bridgford Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bridgford Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bridgford Foods.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-2.44
Potential Upside
2.64
Standard Deviation
1.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bridgford Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bridgford Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Bridgford Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bridgford Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Bridgford Foods' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Bridgford Foods' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Hanson Mcclain Inc2023-12-31
163
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
133
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
100.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
21.0
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
13.0
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
5.0
Millennium Management Llc2023-09-30
0.0
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
179.8 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
70.8 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2023-12-31
50.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
48.6 K
Note, although Bridgford Foods' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Bridgford Foods Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.9M)(7.5M)(3.8M)(40K)(36K)(37.8K)
Change In Cash1.9M(5.1M)16.0M(625K)(718.8K)(682.8K)
Free Cash Flow(14.6M)(12.2M)(11.6M)1.4M1.2M1.3M
Depreciation5.5M6.7M6.7M6.6M7.5M7.9M
Other Non Cash Items(489K)(60K)(57.8M)(371K)(333.9K)(350.6K)
Capital Expenditures24.5M6.2M3.8M2.6M3.0M5.5M
Net Income7.3M(5.5M)45.1M3.5M4.0M5.6M
End Period Cash Flow5.4M375K16.3M15.7M18.1M9.7M
Change To Netincome2.2M6.3M1.0M(52.7M)(47.4M)(45.1M)
Net Borrowings13.7M15.4M7.4M(32.6M)(29.3M)(27.8M)
Investments(23.3M)(6.5M)56.3M(2.4M)(2.7M)(2.9M)

Bridgford Foods Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bridgford Foods or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bridgford Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bridgford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Bridgford Foods Volatility Alert

Bridgford Foods has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 2.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bridgford Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bridgford Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Bridgford Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bridgford Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bridgford Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bridgford Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bridgford Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bridgford Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bridgford Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bridgford Foods to competition
FundamentalsBridgford FoodsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0293-0.31
Return On Asset0.0168-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation96.43 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.08 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders80.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.79 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.29 K4.71 M
Price To Earning14.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.42 X11.42 X
Revenue251.64 M9.43 B
Gross Profit68.16 M27.38 B
EBITDA11.35 M3.9 B
Net Income3.47 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents20.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.21 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.49 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.48 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.42 X3.12 X
Target Price7.93
Number Of Employees67118.84 K
Beta-0.6-0.15
Market Capitalization102.16 M19.03 B
Total Asset167 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings122.79 M9.33 B
Working Capital69.5 M1.48 B
Current Asset48.59 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Bridgford Richard Eugene of 200 shares of Bridgford Foods at 10.62 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Bridgford Foods Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bridgford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Bridgford Foods Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bridgford Foods? Buying financial instruments such as Bridgford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total9.7M7.5M8.6M7.6M
Total Assets176.3M167.0M192.0M201.7M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Bridgford Foods in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Chemicals Thematic Idea Now

Chemicals
Chemicals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Chemicals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Bridgford Foods is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bridgford Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bridgford Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bridgford Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bridgford Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Bridgford Stock refer to our How to Trade Bridgford Stock guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Bridgford Stock analysis

When running Bridgford Foods' price analysis, check to measure Bridgford Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridgford Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Bridgford Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridgford Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridgford Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridgford Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Is Bridgford Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bridgford Foods. If investors know Bridgford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bridgford Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.325
Earnings Share
0.42
Revenue Per Share
26.976
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
0.0168
The market value of Bridgford Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bridgford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bridgford Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bridgford Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bridgford Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bridgford Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridgford Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridgford Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridgford Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.