Topbuild Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BLD Stock | USD 388.27 6.86 1.74% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Topbuild Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Topbuild Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Topbuild Corp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Topbuild Corp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 311.99 | Target Price 328.89 | Hype Value 388.18 | Market Value 388.27 | Naive Value 367.62 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Topbuild Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Topbuild Corp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Topbuild Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Topbuild |
Execute Topbuild Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Topbuild recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Topbuild Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Topbuild Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Topbuild Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Topbuild Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why TopBuild Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again |
Topbuild Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Topbuild Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Topbuild Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Topbuild Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Topbuild Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Topbuild Corp.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -3.38 | Potential Upside | 3.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Topbuild Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Topbuild Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Topbuild Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Topbuild Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Topbuild Corp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Topbuild Corp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 792.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 562.7 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 549.4 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 453.5 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 414.1 K | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2023-12-31 | 376.7 K | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 362.9 K | Liontrust Investment Partners Llp | 2023-12-31 | 352.7 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 300 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M |
Topbuild Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 17.4M | (11.8M) | (46.5M) | (93.9M) | 74.5M | 78.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 83.9M | 145.2M | (190.2M) | 100.3M | 608.5M | 638.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 226.2M | 316.9M | 347.5M | 419.4M | 785.4M | 824.7M | |
| Depreciation | 52.7M | 62.4M | 79.4M | 123.3M | 132.9M | 139.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 13.7M | 10.1M | 26.3M | 23.3M | 859K | 816.1K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 45.5M | 40.9M | 55.5M | 76.4M | 64.0M | 39.1M | |
| Net Income | 191.0M | 247.0M | 324.0M | 556.0M | 614.3M | 645.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 184.8M | 330.0M | 139.8M | 240.1M | 848.6M | 891.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (12.8M) | (27.2M) | 770.7M | (38.7M) | (44.5M) | (42.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 34.7M | 19.7M | 32.8M | 38.7M | 44.6M | 46.8M | |
| Change Receivables | (27.1M) | 2.6M | (69.0M) | (169.3M) | (152.4M) | (144.8M) | |
| Investments | (50.1M) | (121.9M) | (1.3B) | (93.9M) | (198.2M) | (208.1M) |
Topbuild Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Topbuild Corp or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Topbuild Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Topbuild stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Topbuild Corp Volatility Alert
Topbuild Corp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Topbuild Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Topbuild Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Topbuild Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Topbuild Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Topbuild Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Topbuild Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Topbuild Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Topbuild Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Topbuild Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Topbuild Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Topbuild Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.27 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 31.81 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 571.38 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.28 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.56 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.19 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.49 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.03 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 614.25 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 240.07 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 47.04 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.95 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 81.18 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 849.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 19.32 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 460.7 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14.01 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 12.79 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.37 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.28 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 480.36 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Jennifer Shoffner of 1150 shares of Topbuild Corp at 191.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Topbuild Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Topbuild . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12043.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 395.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 392.93 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (10.42) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.86) |
About Topbuild Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Topbuild Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Topbuild Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 733.4M | 789.6M | 771.5M | 527.4M | Other Current Liabilities | 161.6M | 177.4M | 204.0M | 104.5M |
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In addition to having Topbuild Corp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Topbuild Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Topbuild Stock refer to our How to Trade Topbuild Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Topbuild Stock analysis
When running Topbuild Corp's price analysis, check to measure Topbuild Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topbuild Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Topbuild Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topbuild Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topbuild Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Topbuild Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Topbuild Corp. If investors know Topbuild will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Topbuild Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.019 | Earnings Share 19.32 | Revenue Per Share 164.402 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.017 | Return On Assets 0.1145 |
The market value of Topbuild Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Topbuild that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Topbuild Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Topbuild Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Topbuild Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Topbuild Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Topbuild Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Topbuild Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Topbuild Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.