Blue Bird (Indonesia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BIRD Stock  IDR 1,755  5.00  0.28%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Blue Bird Tbk is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Blue Bird buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BIRD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Blue Bird's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Blue Bird's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
1.8 K
Hype Value
1.8 K
Market Value
1.8 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Blue Bird Tbk given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Blue Bird. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Blue Bird Tbk, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Blue Bird Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Blue and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Blue Bird Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Blue Bird Buy or Sell Advice

The Blue recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blue Bird Tbk. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blue Bird Tbk or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blue Bird's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Blue BirdBuy Blue Bird
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Blue Bird Tbk has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0044, Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.40) and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
Macroaxis provides advice on Blue Bird Tbk to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Blue Bird Tbk. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Blue Bird is not overpriced, please confirm all Blue Bird Tbk fundamentals, including its price to book, revenue, ebitda, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Blue Bird Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Blue Bird Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Blue Bird Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Blue Bird's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Blue Bird's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blue Bird daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blue Bird Tbk price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blue Bird returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blue Bird.
Mean Return
-0.0072
Value At Risk
-2.02
Potential Upside
3.19
Standard Deviation
1.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blue Bird historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Blue Bird Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blue Bird or Road & Rail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blue Bird's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blue stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Blue Bird Volatility Alert

Blue Bird Tbk exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.11 and kurtosis of 6.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blue Bird's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blue Bird's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Blue Bird Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Blue Bird's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blue Bird's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blue Bird and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blue Bird or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blue Bird's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Bird by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Blue Bird to competition
FundamentalsBlue BirdPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0656-0.31
Return On Asset0.0364-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.52 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.5 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders70.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.55 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.17 X11.42 X
Revenue2.22 T9.43 B
Gross Profit493.97 B27.38 B
EBITDA134.75 B3.9 B
Net Income7.71 B570.98 M
Total Debt496.95 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2,062 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations304.5 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share129.06 X3.12 X
Target Price2000.0
Number Of Employees3.08 K18.84 K
Beta1.0-0.15
Market Capitalization4.7 T19.03 B
Total Asset6.6 T29.47 B
Z Score5.48.72
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset6.6 T
Last Dividend Paid60.0

Blue Bird Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Blue . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Blue Bird Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Blue Bird Tbk? Buying financial instruments such as Blue Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Blue Bird in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Impulse Thematic Idea Now

Impulse
Impulse Theme
Large corporations operating in retail, broadcasting, energy, airlines and telecom sectors. The Impulse theme has 49 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Impulse Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Blue Bird Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.