Apollo Global Management Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APO Stock  USD 107.30  0.19  0.18%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Apollo Global Management is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Apollo Global buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Apollo Global's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Apollo Global's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
79.2
Target Price
99.33
Hype Value
66.8
Market Value
107.3
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Apollo Global Management given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Apollo Global. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Apollo Global Management, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Apollo Global Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Apollo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Apollo Global Management. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Apollo Global Buy or Sell Advice

The Apollo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Apollo Global Management. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Apollo Global Management or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Apollo Global's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Apollo GlobalBuy Apollo Global
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Apollo Global Management has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.087, Jensen Alpha of 0.1275, Total Risk Alpha of 0.044, Sortino Ratio of 0.0803 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1915
Macroaxis provides advice on Apollo Global Management to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Apollo Global Management. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Apollo Global is not overpriced, please confirm all Apollo Global Management fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Apollo Global Management has a price to earning of 10.19 X, we suggest you to validate Apollo Global Management market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Apollo Global Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of February 2024 Apollo Global paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from nytimes.com: Sony in Talks to Join a Bid to Buy Paramount

Apollo Global Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Apollo Global's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Apollo Global's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Apollo Global daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Apollo Global Management price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Apollo Global returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Apollo Global.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-2.32
Potential Upside
2.46
Standard Deviation
1.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Apollo Global historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Apollo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Apollo Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apollo Global Management backward and forwards among themselves. Apollo Global's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Apollo Global's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
6.8 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
6.3 M
Putnam Investments Llc2023-12-31
5.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
5.1 M
Millennium Management Llc
4.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
4.1 M
Edgepoint Investment Group, Inc.2023-09-30
4.1 M
Mariner Wealth Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Select Equity Group Lp2023-12-31
3.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
41 M
Capital World Investors2023-12-31
31.7 M
Note, although Apollo Global's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Apollo Global Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash958.4M845.2M(378.2M)9.0B6.6B6.9B
Free Cash Flow1.0B(1.7B)999.3M3.6B(17.8B)(16.9B)
Depreciation15.8M18.8M27.3M594M803M843.2M
Other Non Cash Items(753.1M)(2.0B)(5.8B)174.4M(911M)(956.6M)
Dividends Paid471.9M586.2M554.0M962M(1.0B)(982.3M)
Capital Expenditures39.5M59.6M64.7M202.5M24.4B25.6B
Net Income1.5B466.8M4.3B(4.7B)4.9B5.1B
End Period Cash Flow1.6B2.5B2.1B11.1B17.7B18.6B
Change To Inventory(339.1M)191.5M43.9M491.4M565.1M593.4M
Investments(264.0M)(211.9M)(1.5B)(561.2M)(39.0B)(37.0B)
Net Borrowings1.3B490.5M(633.4M)579.4M666.3M699.6M
Change To Netincome49.9M614.0M(1.8B)1.5B1.7B1.8B

Apollo Global Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Apollo Global or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Apollo Global's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Apollo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.96
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Apollo Global Volatility Alert

Apollo Global Management has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of -0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Apollo Global's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Apollo Global's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Apollo Global Implied Volatility

Apollo Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Apollo Global Management stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Apollo Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Apollo Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Apollo Global's options are near their expiration.

Apollo Global Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Apollo Global's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Apollo Global's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Apollo Global and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Apollo Global or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Apollo Global's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Global by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Apollo Global to competition
FundamentalsApollo GlobalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.32-0.31
Return On Asset0.0228-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation71.64 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding568.16 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders27.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.21 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted16.35 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.19 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.96 X11.42 X
Revenue33.21 B9.43 B
Gross Profit29.47 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.69 B3.9 B
Net Income4.88 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.98 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share33.39 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.09 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.72 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share22.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.6 B971.22 M
Short Ratio6.93 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.37 X4.89 X
Target Price122.82
Number Of Employees4.88 K18.84 K
Beta1.62-0.15
Market Capitalization60.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset313.49 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.97 B9.33 B
Working Capital(39.84 B)1.48 B
Note: Sale by James Zelter of 87500 shares of Apollo Global [view details]

Apollo Global Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Apollo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Apollo Global Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Apollo Global Management? Buying financial instruments such as Apollo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total3.6B3.5B8.1B5.5B
Total Assets30.5B13.8B313.5B329.2B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Apollo Global in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Theme ETFs theme has 488 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Theme ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Apollo Global Management is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apollo Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apollo Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apollo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Apollo Global Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Apollo Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Global. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.152
Dividend Share
1.72
Earnings Share
8.28
Revenue Per Share
54.945
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.286
The market value of Apollo Global Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.