Air New Zealand Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ANZFF Stock  USD 0.37  0.02  5.71%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Air New Zealand is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Air New buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Air New positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air New's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Air New's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.31
Hype Value
0.37
Market Value
0.37
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Air New Zealand given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Air New. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Air New Zealand, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Air New Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Air New Zealand. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Air New Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air New Zealand. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air New Zealand or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air New's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air NewBuy Air New
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Air New Zealand has a Mean Deviation of 2.1, Standard Deviation of 3.22 and Variance of 10.36
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Air New Zealand. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Air New is not overpriced, please confirm all Air New Zealand fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the net income and earnings per share . As Air New Zealand appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to earning numbers.

Air New Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air New Zealand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air New Zealand has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Air New Zealand has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 1.59 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.01, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Air New Zealand has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Air New until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Air New's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Air New Zealand sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Air to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Air New's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (591 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410 M.
About 52.0% of Air New shares are held by company insiders

Air New Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air New's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air New's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air New daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air New Zealand price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air New returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air New.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-5.41
Potential Upside
5.56
Standard Deviation
3.22
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air New historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air New Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air New or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air New's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.95
σ
Overall volatility
3.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Air New Volatility Alert

Air New Zealand exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.07 and kurtosis of 1.28. Air New Zealand is a potential penny stock. Although Air New may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Air New Zealand. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Air instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Air New Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air New's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air New's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air New and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air New or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air New's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air New by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air New to competition
FundamentalsAir NewPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.43-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0557-0.14
Profit Margin(0.22) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.25) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.37 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders52.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.01 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.56 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue2.73 B9.43 B
Gross Profit410 M27.38 B
EBITDA(48 M)3.9 B
Net Income(591 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.79 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.59 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations550 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.28) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.87 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees8.86 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization1.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(120 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(132 M)1.48 B
Current Asset2.34 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.47 B7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72

Air New Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air New Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air New Zealand? Buying financial instruments such as Air Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air New in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Agriculture Thematic Idea Now

Agriculture
Agriculture Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Agriculture theme has 31 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Agriculture Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Air New Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Air New Zealand information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Air New's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Air New's price analysis, check to measure Air New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air New is operating at the current time. Most of Air New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Air New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.