Abercrombie Fitch Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ANF Stock | USD 110.36 1.04 0.95% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Abercrombie Fitch is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Abercrombie Fitch buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ANF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Abercrombie Fitch's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Abercrombie Fitch's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 77.78 | Target Price 58.5 | Hype Value 109.95 | Market Value 110.36 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Abercrombie Fitch given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Abercrombie Fitch. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Abercrombie Fitch, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Abercrombie |
Execute Abercrombie Fitch Buy or Sell Advice
The Abercrombie recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Abercrombie Fitch. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Abercrombie Fitch or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Abercrombie Fitch's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Abercrombie Fitch Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Abercrombie Fitch had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Abercrombie Fitch Ascends While Market Falls Some Facts to Note |
Abercrombie Fitch Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Abercrombie Fitch's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Abercrombie Fitch daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Abercrombie Fitch price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Abercrombie Fitch returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Abercrombie Fitch.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -5.34 | Potential Upside | 4.49 | Standard Deviation | 3.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Abercrombie Fitch historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Abercrombie Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Abercrombie Fitch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abercrombie Fitch backward and forwards among themselves. Abercrombie Fitch's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Abercrombie Fitch's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 898.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 895.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 877.7 K | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 813 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 628.3 K | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2023-12-31 | 570.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 538.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.5 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.9 M |
Abercrombie Fitch Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.3M | 33.3M | (123.2M) | 18.5M | 35.0M | 36.8M | |
| Change In Cash | (53.6M) | 431.9M | (289.8M) | (306.8M) | 383.3M | 402.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 97.9M | 303.0M | 177.0M | (166.9M) | 495.4M | 520.2M | |
| Depreciation | 173.6M | 166.3M | 144.0M | 132.2M | 141.1M | 151.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 28.7M | 89.3M | 18.7M | 14.5M | 23.8M | 32.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 202.8M | 101.9M | 97.0M | 164.6M | 157.8M | 191.3M | |
| Net Income | 45.0M | (109.0M) | 270.1M | 10.4M | 328.1M | 344.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 692.3M | 1.1B | 834.4M | 527.6M | 900.9M | 517.7M | |
| Investments | (202.8M) | (51.9M) | (97.0M) | (140.7M) | (157.2M) | (149.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 42.7M | 108.0M | (133.0M) | 55.0M | 49.5M | 46.6M |
Abercrombie Fitch Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Abercrombie Fitch or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Abercrombie Fitch's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Abercrombie stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Abercrombie Fitch Volatility Alert
Abercrombie Fitch shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Abercrombie Fitch's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Abercrombie Fitch's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Abercrombie Fitch Implied Volatility
Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abercrombie Fitch stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abercrombie Fitch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abercrombie Fitch's options are near their expiration.
Abercrombie Fitch Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Abercrombie Fitch's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Abercrombie Fitch's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Abercrombie Fitch and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Abercrombie Fitch or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Abercrombie Fitch's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abercrombie Fitch by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Abercrombie Fitch to competition |
| Fundamentals | Abercrombie Fitch | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.74 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 51.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.72 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 58.00 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.51 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.28 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 621.75 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 328.12 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 517.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.05 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.85 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 20.50 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 653.24 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.97 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.22 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (24.52) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 139.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.58 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.64 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 570.45 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Scott Lipesky of 9095 shares of Abercrombie Fitch subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Abercrombie Fitch Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Abercrombie . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 36367.12 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2773 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 110.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 110.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.48 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.04 |
About Abercrombie Fitch Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Abercrombie Fitch? Buying financial instruments such as Abercrombie Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.0B | 1.1B | Total Assets | 2.9B | 2.7B | 3.0B | 2.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Abercrombie Fitch in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Conservative Funds Thematic Idea Now
Conservative Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest using buy-and-hold investment strategy in companies with consistent growth over many years of operation. The Conservative Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Conservative Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Abercrombie Fitch Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Abercrombie Stock please use our How to Invest in Abercrombie Fitch guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Abercrombie Stock analysis
When running Abercrombie Fitch's price analysis, check to measure Abercrombie Fitch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abercrombie Fitch is operating at the current time. Most of Abercrombie Fitch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abercrombie Fitch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abercrombie Fitch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Abercrombie Fitch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abercrombie Fitch. If investors know Abercrombie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abercrombie Fitch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.99 | Earnings Share 6.22 | Revenue Per Share 85.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.211 | Return On Assets 0.1079 |
The market value of Abercrombie Fitch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abercrombie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abercrombie Fitch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abercrombie Fitch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abercrombie Fitch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abercrombie Fitch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abercrombie Fitch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Abercrombie Fitch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abercrombie Fitch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.