Admiral Group Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMIGF Stock  USD 34.08  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Admiral Group Plc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Admiral Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMIGF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Admiral Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Admiral Group's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
33.39
Hype Value
34.08
Market Value
34.08
Naive Value
33.78
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Admiral Group Plc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Admiral Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Admiral Group Plc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Admiral Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Admiral and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Admiral Group Plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Admiral Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Admiral recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Admiral Group Plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Admiral Group Plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Admiral Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Admiral GroupBuy Admiral Group
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Admiral Group Plc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.091, Jensen Alpha of 0.1126, Total Risk Alpha of (0.07) and Treynor Ratio of 0.7723
Our advice module can be used to complement Admiral Group investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Admiral Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Admiral Group Plc fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Admiral Group Plc has a price to book of 5.28 X, we suggest you to validate Admiral Group Plc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Admiral Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has accumulated 670.9 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.86, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Admiral Group Plc has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Admiral Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Admiral Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Admiral Group Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Admiral to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Admiral Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Admiral Group shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Admiral Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Admiral Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Admiral Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Admiral Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Admiral Group Plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Admiral Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Admiral Group.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.00
Standard Deviation
0.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Admiral Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Admiral Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Admiral Group or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Admiral Group's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Admiral pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Admiral Group Volatility Alert

Admiral Group Plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 6.03 and kurtosis of 37.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Admiral Group's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Admiral Group's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Admiral Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Admiral Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Admiral Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Admiral Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Admiral Group or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Admiral Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Admiral Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Admiral Group to competition
FundamentalsAdmiral GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.28-0.31
Return On Asset0.0374-0.14
Profit Margin0.26 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.88 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding302.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.09 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.78 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.95 X11.42 X
Revenue1.55 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.21 B27.38 B
EBITDA512.7 M3.9 B
Net Income997.9 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.36 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt670.9 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.86 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.79 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations244.6 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.57 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.71 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees11.32 K18.84 K
Beta0.24-0.15
Market Capitalization8.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.36 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings601 M9.33 B
Working Capital(991 M)1.48 B
Current Asset2.6 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities3.59 B7.9 B
Z Score7.28.72

Admiral Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Admiral . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Admiral Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Admiral Group Plc? Buying financial instruments such as Admiral Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Admiral Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Industrials ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Industrials ETFs
Industrials ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Industrials ETFs theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Industrials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Admiral Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Admiral Group Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Admiral Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running Admiral Group's price analysis, check to measure Admiral Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Admiral Group is operating at the current time. Most of Admiral Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Admiral Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Admiral Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Admiral Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Admiral Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Admiral Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Admiral Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.